Week 6 DVOA Preview: Packers Freefall, Patriots Crack Top 10

Packers QB Aaron Rodgers and Jets DE John Franklin-Myers

Packers QB Aaron Rodgers and Jets DE John Franklin-Myers

Photo: USA Today Sports Images

The Green Bay Packers took a tumble within the pre-Monday Night Football DVOA scores because of their 27-10 Week 6 loss to the New York Jets, plummeting from 9th the entire method right down to twenty first general. 

The Packers controlled to carry onto the 9th spot after their Week 5 loss to the New York Giants in London ultimate week, however Sunday’s sport was once a weaker effort, specifically on offense and particular groups. Aaron Rodgers and corporate mustered simply 278 yards of web offense, down from 301 yards towards the Giants and 443 yards of their Week 4 time beyond regulation victory towards the New England Patriots. They transformed simply 4-of-16 0.33 downs and 1-of-4 fourth downs towards the Jets. 

Jets blocked each a box function and a punt, cratering the Packers’ particular groups DVOA from tenth to thirtieth. The Packers protection did grasp the Jets to 1-of-11 on 0.33 down conversions, however the Jets averaged 5.4 yards consistent with rush towards a protection which now permits 4.9 yards consistent with rush, the eighth-highest determine within the NFL. 

Rainy prerequisites contributed to the Packers loss and the sport’s meager statistics, nevertheless it was once raining at the Jets sideline, too.

Opponents have outscored the Packers 73-36 in 2d halves and 40-12 in fourth quarters thus far in 2022. The Packers offense now ranks simply nineteenth in third-down conversion charge at 38.4%. They are simply 2-of-8 on fourth downs for the season. They’ve transformed simply 50% in their crimson zone journeys into touchdowns, with 0 journeys within the Jets 20-yard line on Sunday. 

Most troublingly, Rodgers and the Packers are averaging simply 6.2 yards consistent with passing play, twenty third within the NFL getting into Monday evening. Per Pro Football Reference, they reasonable simply 4.3 air yards consistent with finishing touch, twenty ninth within the NFL. Rodgers remains to be now not connecting downfield together with his younger receivers. 

A protection which permits a league-low 26.6% third-down conversion charge could also be the one factor staving off an entire Packers cave in.

Sunday’s different upsets had minimum have an effect on at the DVOA best 10. The Baltimore Ravens hung on to 3rd position regardless of their loss to the New York Giants, regardless that their DVOA fell to 27.3% to 23.4%. The Ravens’ rating was once buoyed partially via the truth that most of the groups beneath them additionally misplaced. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers fell from fourth to 6th with their loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers. The 49ers held onto 5th position regardless of their loss to the Atlanta Falcons, who crept up from fifteenth to twelfth with some other spirited appearing. 

The Buffalo Bills and Philadelphia Eagles stay in first and 2d position, as anticipated, after Week 6 victories over tricky warring parties. The New England Patriots, who’ve outscored their ultimate two warring parties 67-15, moved up from sixteenth to tenth position.

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