The Primer: Week 5 Edition (2022 Fantasy Football)

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After a one-week hiatus from the Primer, I’m again!

Last week was once an unending cycle of Dayquil pictures, sizzling showers to alleviate COVID congestion, and sleep. I’m nonetheless running my as far back as complete energy, similar to many fable rosters in the market, after enduring every other devastating spherical of accidents in Week 4 (heal temporarily, Javonte Williams. You’re a king.)

Before we thwart our menacing league friends through reassembling our fable lineups into Week 5 Voltron, I’ve to offer a snappy shoutout. As quickly as everybody at FantasyExecs realized I used to be underneath the elements, they swooped in and collected each piece of content material off my plate so I may center of attention on resting and improving. I gained’t lie. I were given choked up and shed a couple of tears.

Some paintings environments can also be poisonous, so if you find yourself running for a lovely corporate, facet through facet with your pals day by day and loving each minute of it, you cherish it.

That mentioned, it’s time for Pat Fitzmaurice, Andrew Erickson, and myself to get you able for Week 5. Enjoy the Primer.

Check out all of our weekly fable soccer content material >>

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New York Giants vs. Green Bay Packers

By: Derek Brown

Pace and playcalling notes

  • This sport can be skinny on uncooked play quantity, with every crew operating gradual run-based offenses. New York is 14th in impartial tempo, however Green Bay is of their same old house because the NFL’s slowest crew in shut video games. Each squad reveals themselves throughout the height 12 in impartial speeding fee (NYG fourth, GB Eleventh).


Daniel Jones: Jones’ legs are propping up his fable price in a large manner. Jones has been the an identical of Justin Fields via 4 video games, however he’s scoring sufficient issues speeding to carry his paltry passing inventory. He’s averaged handiest 26.3 cross makes an attempt and 157.8 passing yards with a three:2 passing landing to interception ratio. Those numbers gained’t make you prone to seem his manner as a streamer or QB2 choice, however his speeding stats will. Jones is fourth in speeding makes an attempt and 1/3 in speeding yards amongst quarterbacks with a 33% purple zone speeding percentage. The Green Bay cross protection isn’t as enforcing as you could assume from their 9th rating in cross protection DVOA. While additionally pointing out that we haven’t observed an absolutely wholesome Jaire Alexander in 2022. Green Bay is sixteenth in yards according to strive and nineteenth in passing landing fee. Jones must have the ability to do sufficient together with his arm to offer him a ceiling if his legs comply. Green Bay has allowed the easiest speeding good fortune fee within the NFL. Jones is a QB2 with height 12 upside this week.

Aaron Rodgers: With a remade receiver room, Rodgers has began gradual, however during the last two weeks, he’s observed his fable inventory building up as his cross catchers have stepped forward. Since Week 3, he’s the QB13 in fable. His real-life ability by no means disappeared as he’s the fourth-highest graded passer according to PFF whilst additionally rating 8th in adjusted finishing touch fee (minimal 25 dropbacks). The Giants have the Thirteenth-lowest good fortune fee and Fifteenth-lowest EPA according to dropback allowed, however we additionally want to perceive the quarterbacks they’ve confronted. Ryan Tannehill, Baker Mayfield, Cooper Rush, and Justin Fields don’t precisely strike worry in someone’s hearts. Rodgers shouldn’t have any problems carving them up, particularly in the event that they try to blitz him (they are going to). The Giants are 1/3 in blitz fee this yr. Rodgers has eaten the blitz for breakfast, rating first in PFF passing grade, 5th in yards according to strive, and fourth in blitzed passer ranking (minimal ten blitzed dropbacks). Rodgers is a robust QB1 in Week 5.

Running Backs

Saquon Barkley: Barkley has been a revelation in fable soccer this yr. He’s one of the vital few true bellows left. He’s performed no less than 83% of the snaps in every sport, averaging 24.8 touches and 142.6 overall yards. He’s 9th in yards after touch according to strive, 8th in breakaway fee and 5th in neglected tackles compelled (minimal ten carries). He’s a top-three operating again choice in opposition to a Packer run protection that’s allowed the second-highest speeding good fortune fee whilst additionally rating 7th in explosive run fee and 5th in speeding EPA.

Weeks 1-4

Player % of Rushing makes an attempt Target percentage Route Run % Red zone alternatives
Aaron Jones 42.5% 12.8% 58% 9
A.J. Dillon 50.4% 11.2% 45.5% 10


Aaron Jones: The Packers’ backfield is a fair break up on early downs and within the purple zone. Jones nonetheless holds the higher hand within the path division. The greatest differentiator for Jones is that he’s one of the environment friendly operating backs within the NFL. He’s averaged 15 touches turning them into 102.1 overall yards according to sport. Jones ranks fourth in yards after touch according to strive and neglected tackles compelled whilst sitting with the third-highest elusive grade according to PFF (minimal ten carries). Jones is an RB1 once more in Week 5. The Giants have surrendered the ninth-highest rush EPA, tenth-highest explosive run fee, and rank twenty fifth in adjusted line yards. He must ruin once more.

A.J. Dillon: Dillon is a low-end RB2 this week. He’s observed a tad extra weekly quantity than Jones with 16.6 touches according to sport, however he’s handiest mustered 70.1 overall yards according to contest. He hasn’t been just about as productive on a per-touch foundation this yr. Among 57 operating backs with no less than 15 carries, he ranks thirty sixth in yards after touch according to strive and forty seventh in PFF’s elusive ranking. With a plus matchup this week, he must see an uptick in those classes.

Wide Receivers

Allen Lazard: Since his Week 2 go back, Lazard has observed a 17.8% goal percentage whilst operating a path on 93.1% of Rodgers’ dropbacks. Over the remaining 3 video games, he has led the crew with six deep objectives and is moment in purple zone objectives to simply Doubs (3 vs. 4). Lazard could be shadowed through Adoree Jackson. Jackson has shadowed in 3 video games this yr, following Robert Woods, Robbie Anderson, and CeeDee Lamb on 65-91% in their routes. In shadow protection, he’s allowed 8 objectives, six receptions, and 57 receiving yards (one ranking), with the majority of that manufacturing coming from Lamb. Lazard may lose Jackson through transferring into the slot. Lazard has performed 36.7% of his snaps from the slot this yr. He’s observed 35.3% of his goal quantity from the slot, with either one of his touchdowns this yr coming from the slot. In the slot, he’ll fit up with Darnay Holmes, who lets in a 50% catch fee and 64.3 passer ranking. Lazard is a robust WR3 with upside this week if he can profit from his objectives clear of Jackson.

Romeo Doubs: Doubs has been a full-time participant during the last two video games. He’s observed a 22.8% goal percentage whilst incomes a 94.5% path according to dropback fee. He’s been the crew’s purple zone risk (leads the crew with 5 purple zone appears to be like) and YAC man. He has a 6.8 aDOT whilst rating Twelfth in YAC according to reception amongst all wideouts with no less than ten objectives this yr. He’ll run about 83% of his routes at the perimeter. When he doesn’t see Jackson, he’ll get Fabian Moreau in protection, which is most likely many of the sport if Jackson is in Lazard’s again pocket. Moreau has handiest observed 8 objectives in protection this yr, however remaining yr he was once a matchup to focus on with a 65.8% catch fee (seven touchdowns) and 116.3 passer ranking surrendered.

NYG WRs: Until the Giants building up their passing fee, none in their extensive receivers are playable in fable. New York has averaged a pitiful 27 passing makes an attempt according to sport. Last week no receiver noticed greater than 3 objectives or ran greater than 14 routes. Volume is king in fable and Barkley is the one Giants participant dressed in a crown.

Tight Ends

Robert Tonyan: Tonyan has plateaued at a 61.1% path run fee during the last two video games. While that’s playable if you happen to’re on the lookout for a streaming choice, it isn’t excellent sufficient to believe Tonyan an every-week man (but). He’s observed a 12.8% goal percentage and two purple zone objectives. The Giants are twenty second in DVOA in opposition to the placement.

NYG Tight ends: Similar tale right here as with the receivers. There merely isn’t sufficient passing quantity. The different factor with this place for the Giants is that they’re splitting routes between Daniel Bellinger and Tanner Hudson, with neither participant seeing upper than a 57% path run fee. That simply gained’t get it carried out for fable.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Buffalo Bills

By: Derek Brown

Pace and playcalling notes


Kenny Pickett: Picketts faces a staunch Bills’ cross protection in his first NFL get started. Yeah, rely me out on Pickett this week except you don’t have any different choices in a deep 2QB league or dynasty layout. The Bills have surrendered the second-lowest EPA according to dropback whilst additionally protecting opposing passers to the fourth-lowest yards according to strive and seventh-lowest passing landing fee. The Bills are thirty second in blitz fee, however their cross rush has created some noise, rating Fifteenth in force fee. Pickett must concern extra about Buffalo’s excellent zone protection than cross rushers in his face. Mitch Trubisky noticed the eighth-lowest force fee in spite of rating Thirteenth in time to throw. Pickett must have a fairly blank pocket, however it’s nonetheless arguable what he can do with it this week.

Josh Allen: The Steelers’ secondary has been excellent this yr, rating Twelfth in cross protection DVOA, however that is every other example the place we want to perceive who they’ve confronted thus far. Pittsburgh has simply handled Zach Wilson, Jacoby Brissett, and Mac Jones. Yes, in addition they confronted Joe Burrow, however this isn’t 2021 Burrow, as his offensive line was once speaking like they have been relaying play calls with two cans attached through a flimsy piece of string. Allen is matchup-proof. He’s the QB2 in fable in the back of handiest Lamar Jackson, rating top-five in PFF passing grade, big-time throw fee, and altered finishing touch fee. A top-three fable choice each week.

Running Backs

Najee Harris: Harris is a volume-based RB2. Since Week 2, he’s averaged 18.7 touches turning it into 74.7 overall yards according to sport. He’s RB28 in fable issues according to sport in spite of rating Thirteenth in touches amongst operating backs as a result of he’s scored handiest two touchdowns in an offense in the past led through Mitch Trubisky. Harris will want each little bit of quantity he can get in opposition to Buffalo. The Bills had been tricky in opposition to operating backs with the third-lowest speeding yards according to sport and ninth-lowest explosive run fee allowed. They are top-five in adjusted line yards, second-level yards, and open box yards. Harris’s ceiling as a receiver has been capped this yr with handiest an 8.8% goal percentage and a not up to stellar 45.8% path run fee. He hasn’t sniffed upper than a 50% path run fee all yr.

Weeks 3-4


Devin Singletary: This is Singletary’s backfield. Over the remaining two weeks, he’s averaged 80.5% of the snaps with 16.5 touches and 93.5 overall yards every week. He’s necessarily been the Bills’ WR2 over this two-game span with a 17.8% goal percentage. Last week his path run fee climbed to 78.6%, so cancel the James Cook breakout celebration invitations. The Steelers had been a protection that opposing squads can run on as they’ve given up the ninth-most speeding yards according to sport and eighth-highest rush EPA. That’s been quantity pushed, despite the fact that, as they’ve confronted essentially the most carries within the NFL. They had been tricky on a according to contact foundation with the Eleventh-lowest speeding good fortune fee and sixth-lowest explosive run fee allowed. Singletary has handiest averaged ten carries according to sport over his remaining two weeks, so the amount in that division gained’t be on his facet. He can nonetheless end with a cast fable day during the air. Pittsburgh is seventeenth in DVOA, seeing the fifth-most operating again objectives. They have allowed the Twelfth-most receptions and Eleventh-most receiving yards to backs. Singletary is an RB2.

Wide Receivers

Diontae Johnson: Johnson continues to be the transparent chief of this passing assault. He’s observed elite utilization with a 28.8% goal percentage and 31.7% of the crew’s air yards. This has amounted to the tenth-most objectives amongst extensive receivers. Sadly, all this quantity has carried out not anything for Johnson, the WR43 in fable issues according to sport being dragged down through Mitch Trubisky. We’ll see if Pickett can also be any higher in his rookie season, however he can’t be a lot worse for Johnson’s outlook. Johnson will run about 92% of his routes in opposition to Kaiir Elam and Dane Jackson as a volume-fueled WR3. Elam has allowed a 70% catch fee and 81.3 passer ranking. Jackson has been even more difficult with a 60% catch fee and 42.9 passer ranking.

George Pickens: Yes, Pickens noticed a 35.7% goal percentage with Pickett underneath middle remaining week. I’m now not overreacting to a 14-pass strive pattern. Pickens continues to be most likely the 1/3 choice on this passing assault weekly. He’s treated a 16% goal percentage with 28.1% of the crew’s air yards as the sphere stretcher (17.0 aDOT). This isn’t precisely a job to get giddy over in opposition to a Buffalo secondary that’s 7th in DVOA in opposition to deep passing. He’ll run about 90% of his routes in opposition to Elam and Jackson. Pickens is a dart throw WR5.

Chase Claypool: You most likely have higher choices than even remotely taking into consideration Claypool at this level. He’s observed a 16% goal percentage with six objectives in 3 of his 4 video games. Sadly he hasn’t surpassed 40 receiving yards in any sport, and the Week 1 speeding utilization has dried up. His peripherals are nauseating, with 0.58 yards according to path run and zero.8 YAC according to reception. Don’t play Claypool. Fantasy can also be painful sufficient. Don’t ask for the ache sooner than kickoff even ensues this week.

Stefon Diggs: Even after a “down” sport, Diggs stays the WR3 in fable. He’s garnered a 25% goal percentage with 35.8% of the crew’s air yards. He has the ninth-most objectives according to sport within the Bills’ pass-happy scheme and is twentieth in weighted alternative (minimal 5 objectives). He’ll run just about 64% of his routes in opposition to Cameron Sutton and Levi Wallace this week. Sutton has allowed a 65.2% catch fee and 81.6 passer ranking. His former teammate Wallace has given up a 57.9% catch fee and 76.0 passer ranking. These matchups aren’t simple through any stretch, however Diggs is a matchup-proof WR1 each week. Temper expectancies somewhat, however he can nonetheless publish a height 12 stat line any week.

Gabriel Davis: Davis continues to be coping with the ankle factor, and it displays. Since his go back, he’s observed a ten% goal percentage and 16% air backyard percentage with a minuscule 0.45 yards according to path run. As lengthy as Davis is made up our minds to play via this damage, we will have to mute our expectancies as a result of, obviously, it’s affecting his efficiency. He’s a shaky WR3 with tricky matchups. Davis will run about 90% of his routes in opposition to Sutton and Wallace.

Isaiah McKenzie: If McKenzie can transparent concussion protocol for this week’s sport, this might be his blow-up sport. Jamison Crowder is now sidelined with a damaged ankle. Working in tandem with Crowder from the slot, McKenzie has been regulated to a 53.9% path run fee. Despite that reality, he tied Diggs for the crew lead with a 17.6% goal percentage remaining week. He’s the WR38 in fable issues according to sport. If McKenzie is excellent to move, he’ll run about 76% of his routes in opposition to Arthur Maulet. Maulet has allowed a 66.7% catch fee and 100.0 passer ranking this season. In his profession (121 objectives), he’s given up a 71.1% catch fee and 100.8 passer ranking. McKenzie may see just about each down path fee as a cast WR3 with WR2 upside.

Tight Ends

Pat Freiermuth: I’ll personal the L right here. Freiermuth is a good finish that I used to be extraordinarily low on getting into the yr and all he’s carried out is end up me incorrect. He’s the TE6 in fable issues according to sport, seeing robust (just about elite) utilization. He’s 1/3 amongst tight results in goal percentage (24%), 6th in receiving yards according to sport, fourth in weighted alternative, and 5th in yards according to path run (minimal 5 objectives). The drawback is Freiermuth has run into the tight finish buzz noticed this week. The Bills are a brick wall for tight ends. They are first in DVOA in opposition to the placement with the third-fewest receptions and fourth-lowest receiving yards allowed. Freiermuth is a low-ceiling back-end TE1 this week. If you wish to have upside this week, I gained’t fault you for going the streamer path.

Dawson Knox: Knox has additionally been banged up all season. The 2021 magic is long gone. Knox has observed a ten.6% goal percentage with a 63.4% path run fee and an abysmal 0.92 yards according to path run. Knox is a mid-TE2 choice this week. Pittsburgh is fourth in DVOA in opposition to the placement permitting opposing tight ends to protected 62% in their objectives.

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Cleveland Browns

By: Derek Brown

Pace and playcalling notes


Justin Herbert: Herbert, with a more healthy set of ribs, shouldn’t have any issues reducing this Browns secondary like Gordon Ramsey with a brand new set of cutlery. Cleveland’s secondary has been underwhelming, rating 18th in cross protection DVOA, sixteenth in EPA according to drop again, and Twelfth in yards according to strive allowed. With a battered defensive entrance, they’re twenty fourth in force fee. Herbert’s line could be downgraded because of accidents, however he’s confronted the Eleventh-lowest force fee. Cleveland gained’t have the ability to comprise Herbert if he will get blank wallet. From a comfy pocket, Herbert is 6th in yards according to strive and primary in passer ranking (minimal 25 harassed dropbacks). Herbert is a rock cast QB1 with massive upside this week.

Jacoby Brissett: Brissett isn’t any individual you ever wish to be depending on in 1QB leagues, however in Superflex and 2QB codecs, it’s good to do a lot worse along with your moment quarterback spot. Brissett is the QB17 in fable, rating 9th in PFF passing grade and sixteenth in adjusted finishing touch fee (minimal 25 dropbacks). The Chargers, so far, had been a middling cross protection. While they’ve held opposing sign callers with the Twelfth-lowest EPA according to dropback, they’re additionally sixteenth in yards according to strive with the third-highest passing landing fee allowed. Brissett must publish a cast stat line right here, which is healthier information for someone wanting to begin his cross catchers.

Running Backs

Weeks 1-3

Player % of Rushing makes an attempt Route Run % % of RZ speeding makes an attempt
Austin Ekeler 50% 51.9% 25%


Weeks 4

Player % of Rushing makes an attempt Route Run % % of RZ speeding makes an attempt
Austin Ekeler 56.5% 60% 100%


Austin Ekeler: At first look, Ekeler’s Week 4 utilization doesn’t seem to be any other from his first 3 video games. In Weeks 1-3, he averaged 17.7 touches, 73 overall yards, and 56% of the snaps performed. In Week 4, he grew to become 19 touches into 109 overall yards with 59% of the snaps performed. Yeah, now not a lot other at the floor. When we dig deeper, we discover he owned extra of the early down paintings, ran extra routes according to drop again, and resecured all the purple zone paintings. If this pattern continues, that is massive transferring ahead for each his flooring and ceiling. Ekeler is locked again in as a top-five operating again choice in opposition to a porous Cleveland protection. The Browns have allowed the sixth-highest speeding good fortune fee, third-highest rush EPA, and Twelfth-highest explosive run fee. If Ekeler isn’t chewing them up at the floor, he’ll in finding room to perform during the air in opposition to a crew that’s twenty second in DVOA in opposition to receiving backs.

Weeks 1-4

Player % of Rushing makes an attempt Target percentage Route Run % Red zone alternatives
Nick Chubb 54.7% 6.5% 38.8% 15
Kareem Hunt 31.1% 10.6% 48.2% 16


Nick Chubb: Chubb has been in his bag this yr. As the RB2 in fable, he has been a close to lock for 20-plus touches and over 100 speeding yards according to sport. He’s observed no less than 20 touches in each sport and hit the century mark at the floor in 3 of 4 video games. He’s averaged 21.8 touches and 124.1 overall yards according to sport. He stays arguably essentially the most proficient rusher of the soccer within the NFL. He ranks 9th in yards after touch according to strive, first in neglected tackles compelled (the nearest RB in the back of him has ten much less MTF), and fourth in PFF’s elusive ranking (minimal 15 carries). Chubb may ruin Week 5 in contrast pitiful Bolts’ run protection. Over the remaining 3 weeks, they’ve bled out the third-highest explosive run fee, tenth-highest rush EPA, and the third-most speeding yards according to sport. Chubb is a top-three again.


Each week, we’ll pick out a matchup of the week, introduced through Bettle. For Week 5, Nick Chubb is our Bettle Matchup of the Week.

Beettle, Play the Field

Kareem Hunt: As the crew has leaned heavier on Chubb during the first 4 video games, Hunt has observed his paintings scaled again only a tad with 14.3 touches and 68.3 overall yards according to sport. He has nonetheless been a cast again together with his potency numbers and for us in fable because the RB21. Hunt is twenty fifth in yards after touch according to strive and sixteenth in PFF’s elusive ranking (minimal 15 carries). He may simply in finding his manner throughout the height 20 backs this week in opposition to a Chargers protection that’s been gashed at the floor and by means of the passing sport with backs. The Bolts are thirty first in DVOA in opposition to receiving backs permitting the fourth-most receptions and seventh-most receiving yards. Hunt is a low-end RB2/high-end RB3.

Wide Receivers

Keenan Allen: Check again for Friday’s replace to peer if Allen fits up after coping with a hamstring damage. Right now I stay skeptical that he does.

Mike Williams: Williams has balanced two dud video games with two excellent 10-plus objectives and 100-plus receiving yards outings. He’s the WR20 with a 21.8% goal percentage since Allen has been sidelined with a 42.9% crew air backyard percentage. The Browns have applied zone protection on 57-62% of the snaps with their outdoor corners. The worry for Williams this week is his struggles in opposition to zone this season. His yards according to path run and utilization splits in opposition to guy and zone had been massive. Williams has observed 62.1% of his goal quantity in opposition to guy with 3.92 yards according to path run, whilst handiest 27.6% of his objectives have come in opposition to zone with 0.63 yards according to path run. Williams will run about 83% of his routes in opposition to Denzel Ward and Marin Emerson. Ward has allowed a 57.9% catch fee and a 90.7 passer ranking. Emerson has surrendered a 60% catch fee and a 90.0 passer ranking. Williams is a unstable WR2.

Joshua Palmer: Over the remaining 3 video games, Palmer has disappeared with a 14.5% goal percentage (16.2% crew air backyard percentage) because the WR41 in fable. His 1.32 yards according to path run isn’t unexpected as he’s in large part been “just a guy” so far in his profession. Palmer is a flex play this week who’ll run about 66% of his routes in opposition to Ward and Emerson.

Amari Cooper: Just when it felt like shall we accept as true with Cooper after back-to-back cast outings he lays an egg. Even after Cooper’s 4 goal and 9 receiving backyard debacle he stays the WR24 in fable with a 25.2% goal percentage and 38.4% of the crew’s air yards. Cooper is in line for a pleasing bounceback sport operating in opposition to Asante Samuel Jr. and J.C. Jackson for roughly 76% of his routes. Samuel has allowed a 65.6% catch fee and 90.6 passer ranking. Jackson hasn’t resembled the rest with regards to the nook the Chargers concept they have been signing with a 90.9% catch fee and 149.1 passer ranking allowed. Cooper is a low-end WR2.

Donovan Peoples-Jones: Peoples-Jones has much more enigmatic than Cooper. He has two video games this season with 9 or extra objectives with 60 or extra receiving yards. He has 4 blended objectives within the different two weeks with ten receiving yards. This has amounted to a 19.5% goal percentage with 26.1% of the crew’s air yards. He’s moment a few of the Browns’ receivers with 3 purple zone appears to be like (Cooper, 4). Peoples-Jones is a low-end flex play that’ll run about 70% of his routes in opposition to Samuel Jr. and Jackson.

Tight Ends

Gerald Everett: Everett has been a revelation for fable managers ravenous for tight-end manufacturing. He’s the TE6 that has observed a 16.4% goal percentage (Thirteenth) whilst seeing a 67.1% path run fee. The routes might be higher, however Everett has been immensely productive with this quantity rating 9th in yards according to path run (minimal 5 objectives). He faces a Browns’ protection that’s twenty second in DVOA, permitting the second-highest yards according to reception (14.0) to tight ends.

David Njoku: Njoku SZN is right here. The breakout has begun, and there’s no striking the lid again in this Pringles can. Njoku is 7th in goal percentage amongst tight ends whilst rating 8th in yards according to path run and 7th in YAC according to reception. He’s the TE11 general this season and the TE3 during the last two weeks. The Chargers glance tricky in opposition to tight ends, rating 5th in DVOA, however Njoku is quietly in a great place. Los Angeles may be 9th in YAC allowed, so be expecting Njoku’s YAC abilities to get deployed right here. This protection is 14th in fable issues allowed to inline tight ends (Njoku 52.2% inline). Njoku is a top-ten tight finish.

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