Liverpool vs Manchester City is the standout fixture on a tantalising weekend of Premier League motion. Jones Knows marks your card.
Aston Villa vs Chelsea, Sunday 2pm, survive Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
Chelsea to win with out conceding at 2/1 with Sky Bet? This one stinks of best-bet-of-the-weekend subject material.
On the topic of stenches, we will have to discuss Aston Villa’s tame assault. Apparently, docs are advising other people with insomnia to get a season price tag at Villa Park.
It was once really a pitiful attacking efficiency at Nottingham Forest – a facet that had in the past misplaced their final 5 Premier League video games. Villa’s anticipated targets output of 0.69 was once the 8th time in their final 10 suits that they have posted a tally less than one, which issues to a transparent factor in their skill to create just right high quality probabilities. The eye check proves that too with Phillipe Coutinho, Ollie Watkins and Emi Buendia all having a look misplaced and out of concepts.
Steven Gerrard all the way through Aston Villa’s goalless draw with Leeds
On the root of the metrics, they will have to were overwhelmed to nil in each their conferences with conventional top-six groups this season, developing 0.27 from 4 pictures vs Manchester City and zero.45 from 4 pictures vs Arsenal. Defensively they give the impression of being lovely protected in their form however Chelsea arrive in assured and flowing style beneath their new boss Graham Potter, who is getting his message throughout previous than anticipated.
Chelsea have gained 4 successive video games in all competitions for the primary time since March and feature saved 3 successive blank sheets for the primary time since February. Make that 4 please, Graham.
SCORE PREDICTION: 0-2 | JONES KNOWS BEST BET: Chelsea to win to nil (2/1 with Sky Bet – Bet Here!)
Leeds vs Arsenal, Sunday 2pm
We have not were given a lot proof to paintings with however Leeds’ video games towards the top-six at Elland Road will have to be a laugh beneath Jesse Marsch. His group are taking part in with a transparent identification now. It’s a courageous taste of soccer that leaves them woefully uncovered if sensible and complex groups ruin their press however that is what you get with risk-reward form of soccer.
Arsenal are with out query a group able to exploiting that, but, as Leeds confirmed in their 3-0 win towards Chelsea previous this season, their attacking patterns do result in giant probabilities being created. So, a whacky recreation might be at the playing cards and the ones having a look to again the over overall targets line will have to fill their boots.
Both groups to attain and over 3.5 targets at 2/1 with Sky Bet will have to provide you with a just right run.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-4
Manchester United vs Newcastle, Sunday 2pm
My intestine is telling me that Manchester United are a contact of worth right here at round Evens with Sky Bet, however I’m staying transparent of having financially invested in Newcastle suits. They confuse me as I’m satisfied they’re hyped up via the markets, particularly in assault, however have simply scored 9 targets in their final two video games. So, my mind is frazzled.
Rest confident if they are able to seize 3 issues right here in a dominant appearing I will be able to need to revise my opinion.
One space they are going to be assured of discovering pleasure from shall be from set-pieces. No group has posted extra pictures (55, 14 greater than every other group) and created a upper anticipated targets determine (5.01) from set-pieces this season than Newcastle. Meanwhile, Man Utd have conceded the 3rd maximum pictures from set-piece scenarios this season and seemed all at sea in the last levels at Goodison Park final weekend when Everton went direct.
This makes Dan Burn (28/1), Fabian Schar (11/1) and Sven Botman (16/1) all runners in the anytime goalscorer marketplace however a extra all-encompassing method of having the Newcastle set-piece perspective onside is to again leader author Kieran Trippier to bag an lend a hand at 7/2 with Sky Bet. He has produced probably the most passes into the opposition field of any participant in the Premier League this season and it was once unexpected to determine his lend a hand for Bruno Guimaraes final weekend was once his first since becoming a member of Newcastle. Another one might be at the method.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1
Southampton vs West Ham, Sunday 2pm
There is a frenzy coming. The matter shall be Lucas Paqueta, who is going to take the Premier League via typhoon over the following six weeks. I had the excitement of observing him up shut on Sunday in West Ham’s win over Fulham and it is simple to peer why such pleasure was once brought about when the Hammers secured his not likely signature. Paqueta was once a elegance aside in the 3-1 win over Fulham, linking up with Gianluca Scamacca in devastating style. The Brazilian created 3 probabilities for his striker, who scored one when he more than likely will have to have completed all 3.
“If you are any centre forward you want to play with Paqueta,” gushed David Moyes afterwards.
Playing in a unfastened function in this West Ham facet that has numerous coverage for the defence is going to fit a participant of such silk and savviness. Yet, the markets have not moderately given him the honour he merits, so we will have to take benefit whilst we will, beginning in this conflict the place West Ham are taken to make it 3 Premier League wins at the spin. They shall be too streetwise and elevate an excessive amount of danger for a meandering Saints.
But my eyes were attracted to the 9/2 with Sky Bet on Paqueta registering some other lend a hand. I’ll be shocked if this lad does not recover from seven assists come the top of the season judging via the liberty he is given and his inventive contact, so those present costs are value leaping on whilst they final. Scamacca to attain some other function assisted via Paqueta is additionally overpriced at 14/1 with Sky Bet.
Lucas Paqueta was once a standout performer vs Fulham and is 9/2 for an lend a hand
Just for reference, Sky Bet pay out on an lend a hand which is recorded via Fantasy Football fairly than Opta. For any bets involving assists, the next rule shall be implemented: “An Assist is defined as the final pass or pass-come-shot leading to the recipient of the ball scoring a goal. It also includes the following actions: Penalty won; Attempt saved; Shot hit woodwork, rebound scored; Instigating an own goal through a shot/pass.”
SCORE PREDICTION: 0-2 | JONES KNOWS BEST BET: Lucas Paqueta to check in an lend a hand (9/2 with Sky Bet – Bet Here!) & Gianluca Scamacca to attain from a Paqueta lend a hand (14/1 with Sky Bet – Bet Here!)
Liverpool vs Manchester City, Sunday 4.30pm, survive Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
Liverpool vs Manchester City is survive Sky Sports on Sunday afternoon
Being in a position to get 3/1 with Sky Bet on Liverpool in a house fit seems like a kind of ridiculous bookmaker signal up gives – however this is the truth in their scenario. This is Liverpool’s worst begin to a Premier League season beneath Jurgen Klopp and they have got already taken 14 issues fewer than this level in their 19/20 name profitable marketing campaign.
That stated, Anfield with an underdog mentality is a unhealthy position regardless of the opposition. No group has gained there in the Premier League for 27 video games. Their attacking metrics additionally nonetheless recommend Klopp’s males are doubtlessly in for 2 targets in this recreation so City could have to attain 3 to win. It makes a pro-Liverpool end result glance a smart technique on the costs.
Liverpool have scored no less than two times in every in their final 4 conferences with Manchester City in all competitions – no group has ever scored two or extra targets in 5 consecutive video games towards a facet controlled via Pep Guardiola ahead of.
Obviously since including Erling Haaland, City do glance jaw-droppingly ruthless in assault but if a high quality counter-attack opposition group will get it proper towards them the stability in their defensive recreation does cause them to prone to conceding. In video games towards Newcastle, Crystal Palace and Manchester United this season they have got shipped 8 targets.
That makes me uneasy if I’m going to again them at 4/5 with Sky Bet for that away win. I nonetheless assume a draw shall be observed as a just right end result via Guardiola at this level of the season and that has been the outcome in 3 of the final 4 Premier League conferences. In truth, since Guardiola took fee of Manchester City, the mixture ranking in the 17 conferences between the groups reads Liverpool 28-30 Manchester City. Historically there is little between the 2.
The recreation to finish 1-1, 2-2 or 3-3 at 7/2 with Sky Bet appears to be like moderately a stupendous play.