NFL Week 6 picks against the spread: Dolphins topple Vikings, Chiefs take down Bills, shootout in Seattle

These two prime-time video games are a praise for our penance on Thursday evening. Two elite divisional matchups on Sunday and Monday plus a host of eyebrow-raising chaos bombs lingering in the early window. 

The two non Chiefs-Bills video games in the past due window are extraordinarily “meh” in the beginning look. But a loopy NFC West shootout and Carolina enjoying spoiler may in point of fact flip the afternoon window right into a complete day of calamity. 

Last week felt like a C+ or B- drama week for the NFL. This one has the makings of a few very strange twists and turns.  

All NFL odds are by way of Caesars Sportsbook.

NFL Week 6 Picks

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TV: 
CBS | Stream: Paramount+ (click on right here)

Latest Odds:

New York Giants
+5.5

The Giants are the most enjoyable query in soccer at this time — is that this get started reputable or will they regress? Brian Daboll is universally liked regardless, each by means of Giants lovers and soccer lovers in common. He’s so dang blue collar. The best fear is New York’s getting back from London off an enormous win against an overly bad offense. The Giants will litter issues up as a result of they are able to’t win with lockdown protection, however it is asking a LOT of this staff to sluggish down Lamar Jackson. I feel we see a ton of issues right here, assuming the forecast stays benign, particularly with Marcus Williams now on IR for Baltimore. I’m selecting the Ravens but when I have been making a bet them I’d take the first part line as an alternative with New York fighting possible jet lag.

The pick out: Ravens 35, Giants 28
Props, Best Bets: Over 45.5

Sunday,1 p.m. ET
TV: 
CBS | Stream: Paramount+ (click on right here)  

Latest Odds:

New Orleans Saints
+2.5

The Andy Dalton Revenge Game!! Cincy is thirty first in yards in line with play in the NFL this yr, which might be stunning aside from the larger stunner is the Rams score thirty second. Quite the precipitous fall for the reigning convention champs. These groups really feel like conventional scorers, however each defenses are considerably higher than the present iteration of the offenses. This sport is an LSU FEST. Betting against Joe Burrow in Louisiana does now not really feel sensible and I wager we see a sneaky quantity of Burrow jerseys in the stands from Saints lovers who recognize what he did at LSU. I’ve the Saints however slightly.

The Pick: Saints 17, Bengals 14
Bets: Under 43

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TV: 
CBS | Stream: Paramount+ (click on right here)  

Latest Odds:

Indianapolis Colts
-2

Insane stat: the Colts are the first staff since the 1995 Chargers not to permit a unmarried level in the fourth quarter of any sport thru 5 weeks of the season. More insane stat: if the Jaguars do not rating in the fourth quarter Sunday, the Colts might be the first staff since the 1934 Bears and 1934 Lions not to permit a fourth-quarter level thru six video games of the season. Now, granted, this is not totally the Colts being elite on protection — Jacksonville close/blew them out a couple of weeks again and nobody scored past due. The Broncos stepped on their very own foot ultimate Thursday. Etc, and so on., however nonetheless a loopy stat. The Jaguars are, in some way, the extra determined staff right here. The beneath is so low it is exhausting to play, however it is exhausting to peer the place the issues come from right here. 

The Pick: Jaguars 14, Colts 9
Bets: Lean beneath and Jags

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TV:
Fox | Stream: fuboTV (click on right here)  

Latest Odds:

Miami Dolphins
+3

Any dialogue of this sport is in large part beside the point with out understanding the actual nature of the Miami quarterback scenario. Skylar Thompson, the late-round rookie, has been introduced by means of Mike McDaniel as the starter. I feel Teddy Bridgewater performs (he by no means suffered a concussion, in line with the Dolphins, however the altered protocols pressured him to stay out of the sport and omit follow). I’m keen to wager on the +3.5 that he finally ends up enjoying and I feel we see a ton of issues in this sport too.

The Pick: Dolphins 28, Vikings 24
Bets: Over 45.5, Dolphins +3.5

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TV: 
CBS | Stream: Paramount+ (click on right here)  

Latest Odds:

Cleveland Browns
-2.5

Bill Belichick Revenge Game!!! The Patriots have been written off a number of weeks in the past and the BB eulogies have been being crafted. Then they crammed the Lions in a sack ultimate week. It nonetheless did not get the radar up. What did put my antenna in the air was once Tom Curran — the funniest-in-writing (decently humorous in individual too, I assume) reporter of any main NFL beat — of NBC Sports Boston giving some reward to Matt Patricia’s offense. 

We all had a just right giggle however the numbers are on par with ultimate yr and the Pats have an overly winnable time table arising. Ignoring the high quality of festival from the present season’s groups, let’s recognize Bill Belichick is ready to play the Jets two times, the Browns as soon as and the Colts as soon as in a six-game stretch. Bill would possibly as neatly be Steve Buscemi writing names proper prior to he will get that decision from Billy Madison. The 6th opponent is the Bears. Even with Bailey Zappe (!), the Pats may well be about to get sizzling.

The Pick: Patriots 18, Browns 13
Bets: Lean beneath and Pats

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TV:
Fox | Stream: fuboTV (click on right here)  

Latest Odds:

Green Bay Packers
-7.5

Aaron Rodgers is a fancy particular person, however he is additionally were given some quite simple, very decent and really bad dispositions when he is wondered. Rodgers has Michael Jordan degree spite levers running within his head. There’s not anything extra complimentary than the means Tom Brady approaches Rodgers — he is handled as a modern regardless of being seven years more youthful. And Brady nonetheless remains aloof, as a result of he is aware of Rodgers is a risk. Anywho, the Packers misplaced and Rodgers is most certainly going to carve up the Jets in this LaFleur vs. LaFleur matchup.

The Pick: Packers 31, Jets 17
Bets: Packers -7

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TV: 
Fox | Stream: fuboTV (click on right here)   

Latest Odds:

Atlanta Falcons
+4.5

If we are going to ding a franchise for a perceived dangerous roster, we want to give credit score to a training workforce for maxing out that roster. The Falcons have performed 5 video games and feature been in 5 one-score video games. Arthur Smith is doing a in point of fact just right task with the present Falcons roster and merits credit score for navigating the Matt Ryan/Marcus Mariota change meet transfer. He had not anything to do with it and nonetheless has the offense giving other people issues. If someone provides those guys flak for the use of “smoke and mirrors” briefly remind them that is training. I’m going Niners right here but when the ultimate accidents are dangerous for San Francisco I would not need to be on their aspect.

The Pick: 49ers 28, Falcons 24
Bets: Pass

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TV:
Fox | Stream: fuboTV (click on right here)  

Latest Odds:

Pittsburgh Steelers
+9.5

Tom Brady is 9-3 all time against the Steelers with a 20-5 touchdown-interception ratio. Does that in point of fact elevate over into Sunday’s sport? Maybe now not, particularly with him on a unique staff and a loss of Bill Belichick to assist gameplan. But Brady has a wealth of enjoy within ACRISURE FIELD and that may make existence more straightforward for the Bucs QB. A complete host of accidents on each side of the ball for Tampa Bay may make this a better sport than it must be, however I consider Brady to fasten in and Todd Bowles to cook dinner up sufficient defensive pressures to stay Kenny Pickett scrambling. The Steelers have by no means received a sport with out T.J. Watt since they drafted him in the first around. He’s that vital. 

The Pick: Buccaneers 24, Steelers 17
Bets: Pass

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET
TV: 
CBS | Stream: Paramount+ (click on right here)  

Latest Odds:

Kansas City Chiefs
+2.5

This sport is the crown jewel of the complete week and it is ON CBS IF YOU DIDN’T HEAR. Fire up Paramount+ and circulate it along with your unfastened trial if you do not have already got get entry to! Honestly the pick out right here comes down to 1 factor for me: Patrick Mahomes is an underdog at house for the first time ever as a starter. I’m going to take the ones issues, even though the Bills have the perfect roster in soccer and are taking a look to take a look at and shrink the perceived energy hole in the AFC. Thirteen seconds nonetheless lingers for this Buffalo staff, even though nobody will communicate to you about it.

The Pick: Chiefs 31, Bills 28
Bets: Chiefs +2.5

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET
TV: 
Fox | Stream: fuboTV (click on right here)  

Latest Odds:

Seattle Seahawks
+2.5

Why are the Cardinals appreciated right here? Geno Smith is not only enjoying higher than Russell Wilson, he is enjoying higher than Kyler Murray too. The Seahawks can not play a lick of protection at this time, and I completely love the over in this spot. Everyone goes to be serious about Buffalo/Kansas City, however it is a sneaky amusing sport and it would consequence in an explosion of issues. Over the ultimate 3 weeks, the Seahawks and their warring parties blended to attain 224 overall issues, simply an outrageous quantity of scoring. Weather’s taking a look stunning and neither of those cross defenses can forestall someone. 

The Pick: Seahawks 31, Cardinals 28
Bets: Seahawks +2.5, Over 50.5

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET
TV: 
Fox | Stream: fuboTV (click on right here)  

Latest Odds:

Los Angeles Rams
-10

This is the pungent survivor sport du jour. Everyone is out on the Rams with their lackadaisical offensive efficiency the previous few weeks and offensive line problems. It could be rarely unsurprising if Matthew Stafford was once fighting some moderately severe accidents. The Rams have been a very easy pick out if David Tepper allowed Matt Rhule to stay hired any other week. But this turns into a Spidey Sense sport as a result of the unknown with Steve Wilkes and P.J. Walker. Personally I feel the Panthers are going to get steamrolled however the lifeless cat soar for groups who fired their trainer — specifically early in the season and against the unfold — is an actual factor. If Wilkes and Brian Burns made up our minds to spend the following couple of months seeking to get actual paid it would not be sudden. 

The Pick: Rams 21, Panthers 11
Bets: Pass

Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET
TV: 
NBC | Stream: fuboTV (click on right here)  

Latest Odds:

Philadelphia Eagles
-6.5

It’s so wild this sport is for the NFC East lead bearing in mind the loss of Dak Prescott for the Cowboys since his Week 1 harm. The Dallas protection is wearing this staff and, as I can proceed to copy each and every week in this house for the remainder of the yr, anyone wishes to rent Dan Quinn this coming offseason. The Eagles are deep sufficient on the offensive line to thwart the Cowboys cross rush and I’m now not positive the Cooper Rush Cinderella tale can ultimate thru what may well be considered one of the wildest Philly sports activities weekends in a very long time. This crowd goes to be rabid, and the Eagles can snuff out questionable characteristics from opposing groups.

The Pick: Eagles 31, Cowboys 14
Bets: Eagles -6

Broncos at Chargers

Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET
TV: 
ESPN | Stream: fuboTV (click on right here)  

Latest Odds:

Los Angeles Chargers
-4.5

Russell Wilson’s first yr in Denver is not going as neatly offensively as, um, someone would be expecting. The Broncos and Chargers are moderately comfortable in total DVOA however the Broncos are buoyed by means of their top-five protection. Wilson and Nathaniel Hackett’s monstrosity ranks twenty seventh by means of offensive DVOA. The Chargers glance balanced and would possibly have survived their preliminary wave of accidents to stabilize their status in the AFC. This is an enormous sport for playoff positioning; it is unlucky the Chargers might be enjoying in an away surroundings. I’ll nonetheless again them, however it is in large part as a result of the Broncos simply do not glance superb.

The Pick: Chargers 24, Broncos 17
Bets: Chargers -4.5

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