NFL Week 6 picks against the spread: Chiefs take down Bills, Dolphins topple Vikings, shootout in Seattle

These two prime-time video games are a praise for our penance on Thursday evening. Two elite divisional matchups on Sunday and Monday plus a number of eyebrow-raising chaos bombs lingering in the early window. 

The two non Chiefs-Bills video games in the past due window are extraordinarily “meh” in the beginning look. But a loopy NFC West shootout and Carolina taking part in spoiler may just truly flip the afternoon window right into a complete day of calamity. 

Last week felt like a C+ or B- drama week for the NFL. This one has the makings of a few very odd twists and turns.  

All NFL odds are by way of Caesars Sportsbook.

NFL Week 6 Picks

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TV: 
CBS | Stream: Paramount+ (click on right here)

Latest Odds:

New York Giants
+5.5

The Giants are the most exciting query in soccer at this time — is that this get started official or will they regress? Brian Daboll is universally cherished regardless, each by means of Giants lovers and soccer lovers in common. He’s so dang blue collar. The handiest worry is New York’s getting back from London off a large win against an overly unhealthy offense. The Giants will clutter issues up as a result of they are able to’t win with lockdown protection, however it is asking a LOT of this staff to gradual down Lamar Jackson. I feel we see a ton of issues right here, assuming the forecast stays benign, particularly with Marcus Williams now on IR for Baltimore. I’m choosing the Ravens but when I had been making a bet them I’d take the first part line as an alternative with New York combating possible jet lag.

The pick out: Ravens 35, Giants 28
Props, Best Bets: Over 45.5

Sunday,1 p.m. ET
TV: 
CBS | Stream: Paramount+ (click on right here)  

Latest Odds:

New Orleans Saints
+3

The Andy Dalton Revenge Game!! Cincy is thirty first in yards consistent with play in the NFL this yr, which might be stunning with the exception of the larger stunner is the Rams score thirty second. Quite the precipitous fall for the reigning convention champs. These groups really feel like conventional scorers, however each defenses are considerably higher than the present iteration of the offenses. This recreation is an LSU FEST. Betting against Joe Burrow in Louisiana does now not really feel good and I wager we see a sneaky quantity of Burrow jerseys in the stands from Saints lovers who recognize what he did at LSU. I’ve the Saints however slightly.

The Pick: Saints 17, Bengals 14
Bets: Under 43

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TV: 
CBS | Stream: Paramount+ (click on right here)  

Latest Odds:

Indianapolis Colts
-1.5

Insane stat: the Colts are the first staff since the 1995 Chargers not to permit a unmarried level in the fourth quarter of any recreation via 5 weeks of the season. More insane stat: if the Jaguars do not rating in the fourth quarter Sunday, the Colts might be the first staff since the 1934 Bears and 1934 Lions not to permit a fourth-quarter level via six video games of the season. Now, granted, this is not completely the Colts being elite on protection — Jacksonville close/blew them out a couple of weeks again and no person scored past due. The Broncos stepped on their very own foot remaining Thursday. Etc, and many others., however nonetheless a loopy stat. The Jaguars are, by some means, the extra determined staff right here. The beneath is so low it is exhausting to play, however it is exhausting to look the place the issues come from right here. 

The Pick: Jaguars 14, Colts 9
Bets: Lean beneath and Jags

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TV:
Fox | Stream: fuboTV (click on right here)  

Latest Odds:

Miami Dolphins
+3

Any dialogue of this recreation is in large part inappropriate with out understanding the exact nature of the Miami quarterback scenario. Skylar Thompson, the late-round rookie, has been introduced by means of Mike McDaniel as the starter. I feel Teddy Bridgewater performs (he by no means suffered a concussion, consistent with the Dolphins, however the altered protocols pressured him to stay out of the recreation and leave out follow). I’m keen to wager on the +3.5 that he finally ends up taking part in and I feel we see a ton of issues in this recreation too.

The Pick: Dolphins 28, Vikings 24
Bets: Over 45.5, Dolphins +3.5

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TV: 
CBS | Stream: Paramount+ (click on right here)  

Latest Odds:

Cleveland Browns
-2.5

Bill Belichick Revenge Game!!! The Patriots had been written off a number of weeks in the past and the BB eulogies had been being crafted. Then they filled the Lions in a sack remaining week. It nonetheless did not get the radar up. What did put my antenna in the air was once Tom Curran — the funniest-in-writing (decently humorous in individual too, I assume) reporter of any primary NFL beat — of NBC Sports Boston giving some reward to Matt Patricia’s offense. 

We all had a excellent giggle however the numbers are on par with remaining yr and the Pats have an overly winnable agenda arising. Ignoring the high quality of festival from the present season’s groups, let’s recognize Bill Belichick is set to play the Jets two times, the Browns as soon as and the Colts as soon as in a six-game stretch. Bill would possibly as neatly be Steve Buscemi writing names proper prior to he will get that decision from Billy Madison. The 6th opponent is the Bears. Even with Bailey Zappe (!), the Pats may well be about to get scorching.

The Pick: Patriots 18, Browns 13
Bets: Lean beneath and Pats

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TV:
Fox | Stream: fuboTV (click on right here)  

Latest Odds:

Green Bay Packers
-7.5

Aaron Rodgers is a posh person, however he is additionally were given some quite simple, very decent and really unhealthy inclinations when he is wondered. Rodgers has Michael Jordan stage spite levers operating inside of his head. There’s not anything extra complimentary than the means Tom Brady approaches Rodgers — he is handled as a modern in spite of being seven years more youthful. And Brady nonetheless remains aloof, as a result of he is aware of Rodgers is a danger. Anywho, the Packers misplaced and Rodgers is most definitely going to carve up the Jets in this LaFleur vs. LaFleur matchup.

The Pick: Packers 31, Jets 17
Bets: Packers -7

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TV: 
Fox | Stream: fuboTV (click on right here)   

Latest Odds:

Atlanta Falcons
+4.5

If we are going to ding a franchise for a perceived dangerous roster, we want to give credit score to a training team of workers for maxing out that roster. The Falcons have performed 5 video games and feature been in 5 one-score video games. Arthur Smith is doing a truly excellent task with the present Falcons roster and merits credit score for navigating the Matt Ryan/Marcus Mariota change meet transfer. He had not anything to do with it and nonetheless has the offense giving other people issues. If any individual provides those guys flak for the use of “smoke and mirrors” briefly remind them that is training. I’m going Niners right here but when the ultimate accidents are dangerous for San Francisco I would not need to be on their aspect.

The Pick: 49ers 28, Falcons 24
Bets: Pass

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET
TV:
Fox | Stream: fuboTV (click on right here)  

Latest Odds:

Pittsburgh Steelers
+9.5

Tom Brady is 9-3 all time against the Steelers with a 20-5 touchdown-interception ratio. Does that truly raise over into Sunday’s recreation? Maybe now not, particularly with him on a unique staff and a loss of Bill Belichick to lend a hand gameplan. But Brady has a wealth of enjoy inside of ACRISURE FIELD and that may make lifestyles more uncomplicated for the Bucs QB. A complete host of accidents on either side of the ball for Tampa Bay may just make this a better recreation than it will have to be, however I consider Brady to fasten in and Todd Bowles to cook dinner up sufficient defensive pressures to stay Kenny Pickett scrambling. The Steelers have by no means received a recreation with out T.J. Watt since they drafted him in the first around. He’s that necessary. 

The Pick: Buccaneers 24, Steelers 17
Bets: Pass

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET
TV: 
CBS | Stream: Paramount+ (click on right here)  

Latest Odds:

Kansas City Chiefs
+2.5

This recreation is the crown jewel of the whole week and it is ON CBS IF YOU DIDN’T HEAR. Fire up Paramount+ and circulation it along with your loose trial if you do not have already got get admission to! Honestly the pick out right here comes down to 1 factor for me: Patrick Mahomes is an underdog at house for the first time ever as a starter. I’m going to take the ones issues, although the Bills have the very best roster in soccer and are having a look to take a look at and shrink the perceived energy hole in the AFC. Thirteen seconds nonetheless lingers for this Buffalo staff, although no person will communicate to you about it.

The Pick: Chiefs 31, Bills 28
Bets: Chiefs +2.5

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET
TV: 
Fox | Stream: fuboTV (click on right here)  

Latest Odds:

Seattle Seahawks
+2.5

Why are the Cardinals appreciated right here? Geno Smith is not only taking part in higher than Russell Wilson, he is taking part in higher than Kyler Murray too. The Seahawks can not play a lick of protection at this time, and I completely love the over in this spot. Everyone goes to be interested by Buffalo/Kansas City, however it is a sneaky a laugh recreation and it might end result in an explosion of issues. Over the remaining 3 weeks, the Seahawks and their fighters mixed to attain 224 overall issues, simply an outrageous quantity of scoring. Weather’s having a look stunning and neither of those move defenses can prevent any individual. 

The Pick: Seahawks 31, Cardinals 28
Bets: Seahawks +2.5, Over 50.5

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET
TV: 
Fox | Stream: fuboTV (click on right here)  

Latest Odds:

Los Angeles Rams
-10

This is the smelly survivor recreation du jour. Everyone is out on the Rams with their lackadaisical offensive efficiency the previous few weeks and offensive line problems. It could be hardly ever unsurprising if Matthew Stafford was once combating some reasonably severe accidents. The Rams had been a very simple pick out if David Tepper allowed Matt Rhule to stay hired any other week. But this turns into a Spidey Sense recreation on account of the unknown with Steve Wilkes and P.J. Walker. Personally I feel the Panthers are going to get steamrolled however the useless cat leap for groups who fired their trainer — in particular early in the season and against the unfold — is an actual factor. If Wilkes and Brian Burns made up our minds to spend the following few months seeking to get actual paid it would not be unexpected. 

The Pick: Rams 21, Panthers 11
Bets: Pass

Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET
TV: 
NBC | Stream: fuboTV (click on right here)  

Latest Odds:

Philadelphia Eagles
-6.5

It’s so wild this recreation is for the NFC East lead taking into account the loss of Dak Prescott for the Cowboys since his Week 1 harm. The Dallas protection is wearing this staff and, as I can proceed to copy each and every week in this area for the remainder of the yr, anyone wishes to rent Dan Quinn this coming offseason. The Eagles are deep sufficient on the offensive line to thwart the Cowboys move rush and I’m now not positive the Cooper Rush Cinderella tale can remaining via what may well be one in all the wildest Philly sports activities weekends in a very long time. This crowd goes to be rabid, and the Eagles can snuff out questionable characteristics from opposing groups.

The Pick: Eagles 31, Cowboys 14
Bets: Eagles -6

Broncos at Chargers

Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET
TV: 
ESPN | Stream: fuboTV (click on right here)  

Latest Odds:

Los Angeles Chargers
-4.5

Russell Wilson’s first yr in Denver is not going as neatly offensively as, um, any individual would be expecting. The Broncos and Chargers are reasonably comfortable in total DVOA however the Broncos are buoyed by means of their top-five protection. Wilson and Nathaniel Hackett’s monstrosity ranks twenty seventh by means of offensive DVOA. The Chargers glance balanced and would possibly have survived their preliminary wave of accidents to stabilize their status in the AFC. This is a large recreation for playoff positioning; it is unlucky the Chargers might be taking part in in an away atmosphere. I’ll nonetheless again them, however it is in large part as a result of the Broncos simply do not glance superb.

The Pick: Chargers 24, Broncos 17
Bets: Chargers -4.5

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