Mailbag: Ranking the West, Mavs’ second-best player, analyzing Josh Green

Sometimes, it’s onerous to determine whether or not anyone makes sense like a fox or dumb as a rock.

Like whilst you inform your daughter’s boyfriend to have her domestic by means of 10:15 and he says: “OK, the middle of October. Great.”

That’s the place I’m at when having a look at the Western Conference. It’s simple to fall in love with a number of groups. You could make a case for the LA Clippers, Phoenix, Denver and, after all, Golden State. Minnesota, Memphis, the Mavericks, the Lakers and even perhaps Sacramento may simply qualify as fashionable alternatives.

And but, you’ll in finding causes to doubt all of the ones groups.

But since the season will probably be right here in a couple of week, right here’s my preseason possible choices for the Western Conference – once more, with the proviso that this might be natural genius or the greatest fool projections of all time.

Memphis goes to complete with the best possible report in the West. How so? Glad you requested. This stays a tender, emerging group. They price the common season a little greater than, say, a Warriors’ group that cares only about the playoffs, or a Clippers’ group that will probably be resting a large number of gamers all over the common season, however must be an overly difficult out in the playoffs.

Memphis, with Ja Morant, Desmond Bane, Jaren Jackson Jr. and the remainder of the gang, will probably be atop the West come April. And it almost definitely gained’t require the 56 wins they completed with closing season to get there.

The remainder of the height 4: Phoenix, Golden State, LA Clippers. Those 3 groups have the maximum veteran ability and that by myself will stay them in the home-court-advantage dialog.

After that, I’m taking Minnesota, Denver, the Mavericks and Sacramento to spherical out the height 8.

The Mavericks are going to need to determine issues out as they move this season. Getting Christian Wood relaxed goes to be the large precedence and one among Luka Dončić’s priorities.

After that, throw the Lakers, New Orleans, Portland and any one else you wish to have in a hat and select a reputation. They may spherical out the top-10 and get into the play-in match.

And with that, right here’s this week’s Mail-It-In question-and-answer consultation.

Question of the Week: Who is Dallas’ second-best participant. Joche by means of Twitter.

Sefko: This would appear to be an obvious-answer query. But it’s no longer so simple as simply announcing Spencer Dinwiddie is No. 2 at the back of Luka Dončić. Too regularly, we equate scoring with the ranking a participant merits. And Dinwiddie does different issues, too. He generally is a ball-distributor when wanted. And he’s an OK defender. But the different contenders for this designation have sturdy circumstances, too. Dorian Finney-Smith is the best possible defender on the group and one among the maximum dependable 3-point shooters. He hardly misses video games and he’s a hero in the locker room. When wholesome, Tim Hardaway Jr. may have the second-best ability set on the group. Maxi Kleber does somewhat little bit of the whole thing. But if you wish to have my drop-dead reply in this, it’s were given to be Christian Wood. His rebounding goes to be extra vital to this group than every other asset any one but even so Luka can deliver to the desk. And Wood can rating. If he’s no longer the second-best participant in this group, then one thing almost definitely has long past awry. Either that, or Dinwiddie has regained that all-star degree he used to be taking part in at ahead of his knee harm, which might be an attractive factor for the Mavericks.

Question: Josh Green’s most likely stat line for the season? I say, 12 issues, 4 rebounds, 4 assists and 1.7 steals. This might be his breakout 12 months. Brad M. by means of Twitter.

Sefko: That could be somewhat bold for a man who’s coming into his 3rd season and has averaged simplest 4 issues (and 14 mins) in his first two. This must be a breakout season for the Australian swingman. I accept as true with that. But I’m pondering extra when it comes to 8 issues and two or 3 rebounds consistent with recreation, along with his mins bumping as much as 18 or so. He’s no longer this group’s 6th guy. Or 7th. His mins are going to need to be earned. I be expecting Green to be grouped with guys like Davis Bertans and Dwight Powell and Jason Kidd will probably be going with whoever has the sizzling hand on any specific evening.

Question: What’s a a hit season for Jaden Hardy? Sergio I. by means of Twitter.

Sefko: If he leads the Texas Legends to the playoffs, then it’s an ideal season. Hardy will spend an even period of time with the Mavericks. But he’ll want taking part in time and that’s much more likely to return in Frisco with the G-League Legends. That’s no longer a nasty factor for a 20-year-old rookie. You’ve heard me communicate in the previous that younger gamers want to cross the G-League eye take a look at. If you’ll’t dominate that degree of pageant, you’re almost definitely no longer fairly able to step as much as a vital position in the NBA. Let’s permit this child to be told, to make errors and develop into his ability, which is really extensive, by means of the manner. But you’ll’t skip steps. Throwing younger, exuberant and impressionable gamers to the wolves could have an unwanted affect if you happen to aren’t cautious.

Question: Conley, Clarkson and Vanderbilt for Hardaway, Ntilikina, Bertans, Green, a lottery-protected first-rounder and a second-rounder? DomiNos, by means of Twitter.

Sefko: No thank you. First off, I doubt you’re getting Jarred Vanderbilt in any deal. Utah’s rebuilding and the large guy suits in with the whole thing they’re seeking to do. Also, do you truly need Mike Conley’s $47-million over the subsequent two years, figuring out how he regarded in the playoff collection towards the Mavericks? To be fair, I’m no longer positive both group would do that, despite the fact that the Mavericks may magically get a hold of some draft property to industry.

Question: Is the group as these days built as just right as closing 12 months’s group? Or must we position our expectancies at a extra average (7th– or 8th-seed) degree? TodoMavs by means of Twitter.

Sefko: For a long time, the motto has been the identical in the NBA. If you’re no longer getting higher, you’re going to slide in the pecking order. What we don’t know needless to say is whether or not the Mavericks were given higher this 12 months or no longer. Christian Wood and JaVale McGee will lend a hand. So will a wholesome Tim Hardaway Jr. But Jalen Brunson used to be a beast. Without him, the Mavericks almost definitely don’t get out of the first spherical of the playoffs. So till we all know extra about the character and ability in this group, we must take in this combat cry: We’re No. 6. Finish in the height six in the Western Conference, steer clear of the play-in match and take your possibilities in the playoffs. That would represent a lovely common season.

Question: Are lovers sound asleep on Christian Wood? Like they did after we were given Tyson Chandler again in the day? Jimmy J. by means of Twitter.

Sefko: Hopefully. When the Mavericks were given Chandler, they had been getting broken items. At least that’s what the remainder of the NBA concept. But they’d within data from athletic instructor Casey Smith, who used to be fascinated by the U.S. nationwide group that Chandler used to be a part of at the 2010 World Championship. Because of his harm previous, it used to be forgivable if lovers weren’t bought on Chandler. That temporarily modified when he were given right here. But with Wood, there’s no guesswork, instead of hoping he wasn’t striking up great numbers for a nasty group just because anyone has to. Wood goes to be positive, particularly if he can moderate double-figure rebounds. To me, that’s extra vital than the scoring. But to the level of your query, I don’t assume persons are sound asleep on Wood. They be expecting so much out of him and that’s truthful. He’s going for a significant contract this 12 months and if he earns it, the Mavericks are going to be a a long way higher group as a result of it.

TWITTER: @Esefko

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