Let’s talk about those Harry Kane to Bayern rumors

If you practice Tottenham Hotspur switch rumors — and also you’re studying this weblog, so in fact you do — you’ve more than likely encountered a couple of… neatly, let’s name them “spurious” rumors linking Spurs homegrown famous person Harry Kane with a transfer to Bayern Munich, perhaps once this summer time. These rumors first emerged from the wilds of bat nation at the start of September, typically as bizarre “sources say” experiences in more than a few switch trackers and within the worst of the English tabloid rags that we (nearly) by no means hyperlink to.

The crux of the rumor is that this: Bayern goes to try to tempt Kane with a blockbuster transfer to Munich subsequent summer time when Kane enters the remaining yr of his present contract at Spurs. Tottenham were slow-walking talks of a conceivable contract extension for Kane, however not anything seems forthcoming, and Bayern would try to profit from that to negotiate a (relatively) cut-rate deal for a then-30 yr previous Kane.

So what’s modified these days? Nothing in reality, aside from that there’s a brand new document announcing necessarily the similar factor in 90min.com, which is possibly a slight tick up in reliability from the Daily Mail (however now not THAT large). Stories like this are nearly as inevitable because the tides, particularly after the 2021 saga linking Kane with a transfer to Manchester City that resulted me posting an entire bunch of articles with jokes about bikes and header footage of Harry falling over. There was once even a up to date rumor about Todd Boehly short of to deliver Kane to Chelsea!

So is a tale in September about Kane perhaps heading to Bayern a excellent rumor? No. But is it a believable rumor? Well… yeah, it may well be. So we must talk about it, as a result of whilst this rumor looks like a background hum, I’ve a sense this would possibly now not cross away.

First, I need to be transparent that It’s not that i am advocating that Spurs promote Harry Kane, both to Bayern or in other places. But, we must recognize that there are principally two choices for Kane and Tottenham this season — both Spurs be offering and Kane accepts a brand new contract that assists in keeping him at Spurs past 2024, or they don’t/he doesn’t. Both look like cheap chances at this level. There’s been a large number of background chatter about how Kane is more than pleased taking part in below Antonio Conte the previous two seasons, and that he’s open to discussing a brand new contract at Spurs. Should Harry make a decision that he desires to stay at Spurs till the very finish of his profession, he’ll signal a brand new deal and that’s the tip of the tale — fast, simple, (rather) painless. But we haven’t observed a lot about that but, and barring additional data we briefly go away cast flooring and into the marshy panorama of unfounded rumor.

There’s additionally the open query about each Kane’s and Tottenham’s long-term motivation. Spurs are unquestionably headed in the proper route below Conte and this might be the most productive alternative for the membership to raise silverware in a very long time. But Kane could also be chasing down Jimmy Greaves as Spurs’ main purpose scorer, and is inside of cheap putting distance of catching Alan Shearer because the Premier League’s best scorer. He would possibly catch Greavsie, however leaving the Premier League would finish any likelihood he has of having forward of Shearer. And we don’t know the way attaining any of his particular person or workforce targets at Tottenham will impact his decision-making. Will profitable a cup — or (whispers) the league — make him kind of most likely to go away Spurs? We don’t know.

My bet is that regardless Spurs will make a decision on whether or not to be offering a freelance someday this season, and Kane will then make a decision whether or not he desires to signal it. And must both now not occur, Tottenham would promote him this coming summer time — as unpopular a choice as it will be to the lovers, the membership now not has the leverage it did in 2021 and it will be a lot preferable to promote him whilst he nonetheless instructions price than to let him go away on a loose switch, most likely to any other Premier League membership, in 2024.

We know that there are just a handful of locations for Kane must the membership make a decision to promote him. Manchester City is one in all them, in conjunction with Real Madrid and Barcelona. Pundits will point out the likes of Chelsea and Manchester United, however I will be able to’t see the membership promoting Kane to both of them (or to City, barring a ludicrous charge) and I will be able to’t see Kane short of to head to a membership the place he’d be necessarily in the similar place the place he’s at Spurs. It must even be famous that there haven’t been any hyperlinks liking Kane to both Barca or Madrid.

That leaves Bayern. Titles aren’t a subject matter in Munich, as Bayern have ruled that league for the reason that Obama management. I don’t have any doubt that Bayern Munich is considering Harry Kane. A transfer for Kane within the remaining yr of his contract additionally more or less suits with the Bayern switch ethos — they don’t make splashy mega-millions signings that continuously, however without a doubt like to hold across the fringes of a large number of offers within the match they’re in a position to make a reduced transfer for a giant megastar. I will be able to see Kane being a plus upload below nearly any supervisor at Bayern Munich, and it will get him out of Spurs and at a membership the place Tottenham don’t in reality have to concern about him until they face them within the Champions League.

Moreover, it will additionally make sense for Kane (and his brother Charlie) to stay their choices open within the brief to medium time period. It without a doubt doesn’t harm them to play the sector, even though Harry desires to keep at Spurs. The Brothers Kane now hang a significantly greater percentage of the leverage now that Harry doesn’t have 4 years left on his contract, and it’s excellent and good industry for Kane to be sure that his choices stay open. An inexpensive result to all of that is both a brand new brief time period Tottenham contract with a free up clause low sufficient to tempt a mega-club must they arrive calling, or a big-money transfer out of the country that prices Spurs their talisman however leaves them with cash with which they are able to reinvest into the squad.

And should you’re Bayern, why now not sow some seeds early on and hope that they develop into one thing they are able to harvest? They don’t have anything to lose right here. Worst case state of affairs is Tottenham and Kane close it down by means of a freelance extension. Best case state of affairs is that they get the most productive English striker prior to now 30 years to come to Germany for an affordable(ish) switch charge.

So sure, this rumor is untimely. It’s unsourced and just a little foolish. But it’s additionally believable, even though it isn’t most likely.

Losing Harry Kane can be a giant loss. The emotional toll can be even upper. You could make a controversy in line with monetary prudence that this summer time can be a great time to promote Kane whether or not or now not he’s pushing for it… and that argument extends out to Son Heung-Min, who turns 31 in July, as neatly. I’m now not in a position to make that argument reasonably but, however Tottenham are surely planning for what the membership will seem like after he’s long gone. Hopefully that doesn’t occur this summer time, however I’m turning into an increasing number of satisfied that until Harry commits his long run with a brand new contract quickly, we will be able to’t, or shouldn’t, rule it out.

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