Fantasy Football Today: Buy-low and sell-high targets plus Week 7 position previews

Generally talking, harm information is unhealthy information, however there are a couple of causes to be constructive heading into Week 7, so we’re going to get started lately with that. You know Dak Prescott (thumb) is predicted to go back to the Cowboys this week, however we additionally realized Tuesday that Keenan Allen (hamstring) has an opportunity to play in opposition to the Seahawks — trainer Brandon Staley informed newshounds he expects Allen to observe in complete this week.

 Of direction, no longer the entire information is excellent news, as it by no means is. We’ll have a complete rundown on the entire accidents for Week 7 you wish to have to find out about in the next day’s publication, however simply know that it does not appear to be Michael Thomas (foot), Jarvis Landry (ankle), or James Conner (ribs) are prone to play Thursday. None of them have practiced but, even though Chris Olave (concussion) has been absolutely cleared in proceeding with the excellent news theme. 

There’s no such just right information for the Broncos, as we additionally realized that Russell Wilson has a hamstring harm that would motive him to leave out a while. Wilson has been horrible this season, however I’d guess on Brett Rypien being worse, so we’re going to must regulate that one — the Broncos may well be an offense to keep away from fully if Wilson has to leave out time. 

We’ll have extra  the next day — plus, Jamey Eisenberg’s Start ‘Em & Sit ‘Em calls later this night — however for now let’s get to lately’s publication, the place we are previewing each and every position for Week 7 and speaking business targets. Make positive you take a look at Dave Richard’s Trade Values Chart in case you are having a look to make a business this week, after all. And, to get your questions incorporated within the publication transferring ahead, ship them to Chris.Towers@ViacomCBS.com with “#AskFFT” as the topic line. 

And now, here is Wednesday’s publication:

🔍Week 7 Position Previews

Every Tuesday, Heath Cummings previews each and every position, offering harm insights, key stats to grasp, the most productive waiver-wire provides, DFS targets, and extra for quarterbackworking againhuge receiver, and tight finish. Here’s a temporary rundown of each and every position, together with some key main points you wish to have to find out about and our knowledgeable consensus ratings prior to you cross learn Heath’s complete breakdowns:  

QB Preview

“Every 12 months we dub one week of byes the Bye-nado, and with the Bills, Vikings, Rams, and Titans defense that allows the third-most Fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks. The return of Jonathan Taylor could impact Ryan’s pass volume, but he’s still the top bye-week replacement.”

  • Stash: “Kenny Pickett. I nonetheless have some hope this Steelers offense may just display extra explosiveness with Pickett beneath middle. They play the Panthers, Raiders, and Ravens within the Fantasy playoffs, all matchups that supply huge upside.”  
  • Consensus Expert Top 12

    1. Patrick Mahomes, KC
    2. Lamar Jackson, BAL
    3. Joe Burrow, CIN
    4. Kyler Murray, ARI
    5. Justin Herbert, LAC
    6. Tom Brady, TB
    7. Dak Prescott, DAL
    8. Geno Smith, SEA
    9. Matt Ryan, IND
    10. Derek Carr, LV
    11. Tua Tagovailoa, MIA
    12. Aaron Rodgers, GB

    *My QB Rankings

    RB Preview

    “Ezekiel Elliott has scored exactly 10 Fantasy points per game and enters Week 7 as the No. 38 running back in Fantasy Football on a per-game basis. That’s one spot higher than his teammate Tony Pollard. As someone who called Elliott a bust in the preseason, even I didn’t expect the results to be quite this bad. I also expect them to start getting better in Week 7.”

    • On a bye: Dalvin Cook, Alexander Mattison, Miles Sanders, Devin Singletary, Darrell Henderson and Cam Akers
    • Injuries: Jonathan Taylor (ankle), D’Andre Swift (shoulder), J.Ok. Dobbins (knee),  James Conner (ribs), Eno Benjamin (foot), Damien Harris (hamstring), Cordarrelle Patterson (knee), Cam Akers (non-public), Nyheim Hines (concussion), Deon Jackson (quad), Elijah Mitchell (knee), Mark Ingram (knee), Joshua Kelley (knee), Darrel Williams (knee), Justice Hill (hamstring), Gus Edwards (knee) and Damien Williams (ribs)
    • Number to grasp: 82 — Nick Chubb has been held beneath 82 speeding yards in 5 consecutive video games as opposed to the Ravens and has best crowned 100 speeding yards as soon as in 8 profession video games. 
    • Matchup that issues: Kenyan Drake vs. CLE (thirty second vs. RB)
    • Waiver upload: “Latavius Murray. Melvin Gordon does not look long for this roster, and at least on Monday night Latavius Murray looked better. There’s a non-zero chance Murray is getting 15 touches per week. At his age, I’d bet against it, so I don’t really want to spend more than 10% of my FAB on him, but Murray is a decent flex this week.”
    • Stash: “Jaylen Warren. Even Mike Tomlin has acknowledged that the Steelers need to play Jaylen Warren more. It appears Warren has taken over the third-down role, and he could see even more work moving forward. He’s certainly the most explosive Steelers’ back this season.”

    Consensus Expert Top 24

    1. Austin Ekeler, LAC
    2. Christian McCaffrey, CAR
    3. Saquon Barkley, NYG
    4. Leonard Fournette, TB
    5. Derrick Henry, TEN
    6. Rhamondre Stevenson, NE
    7. Josh Jacobs, LV
    8. Alvin Kamara, NO
    9. Breece Hall, NYJ
    10. Jonathan Taylor, IND
    11. Joe Mixon, CIN
    12. Nick Chubb, CLE
    13. Dameon Pierce, HOU
    14. Kenneth Walker III, SEA
    15. Aaron Jones, GB
    16. Jamaal Williams, DET
    17. Ezekiel Elliott, DAL
    18. Eno Benjamin, ARI
    19. Travis Etienne, JAC
    20. Jeff Wilson, SF
    21. Najee Harris, PIT
    22. David Montgomery, CHI
    23. Tony Pollard, DAL
    24. Raheem Mostert, MIA

    *My RB Rankings

    WR Preview

    “In Week 6 the Arizona Cardinals lost Marquise Brown for an extended period, possibly the rest of the season, due to a foot injury. In Week 7, they’ll welcome back DeAndre Hopkins. In the same week, they’re adding Robbie Anderson. Now is the time for us to make our best guesses what this passing game will look like.

    “Without Brown, Hopkins will have to be the transparent alpha huge receiver …”

    • On a bye: Cooper Kupp, Allen Robinson, Justin Jefferson, Adam Thielen, A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith, Stefon Diggs, Gabe Davis and Isaiah McKenzie
    • Injuries: Marquise Brown (foot), Michael Thomas (foot), Keenan Allen (hamstring), Chris Olave (concussion), Rashod Bateman (foot), Jahan Dotson (hamstring), Julio Jones (knee), Jarvis Landry (ankle), Marvin Jones (hamstring), Treylon Burks (toe), Kadarius Toney (hamstring), Christian Watson (hamstring), Randall Cobb (ankle), D.J. Chark (ankle), Kenny Golladay (knee) and Nelson Agholor (hamstring).
    • Number to know: 34 — Tyreek Hill leads the NFL with a 34% target per route run rate (minimum 100 routes).  
    • Matchup that matters: Alec Pierce @TEN (26th vs. WR) 
    • Waiver add: “Rondale Moore. For so long as Marquise Brown is out, and that can be the remainder of the season, I’d look ahead to Moore locking down the high-volume slot function on this offense. He’s way more precious in complete PPR than he’s in non, however this week he is a possible starter in each.”
    • Stash: “Chase Claypool. One just right recreation should not be sufficient to transport Claypool into your beginning lineup, nevertheless it will have to be sufficient to get him rostered in maximum leagues. He has the bodily characteristics, it simply hasn’t rather translated to manufacturing. Circumstances may just toughen within the coming weeks.”  

    Consensus Expert Top 24

    1. Tyreek Hill, MIA
    2. Davante Adams, LV
    3. Ja’Marr Chase, CIN
    4. Michael Pittman, IND
    5. Amon-Ra St. Brown, DET
    6. Chris Godwin, TB
    7. CeeDee Lamb, DAL
    8. Deebo Samuel, SF
    9. Mike Evans, TB
    10. Tyler Lockett, SEA
    11. Mike Williams, LAC
    12. DK Metcalf, SEA
    13. Tee Higgins, CIN
    14. Jaylen Waddle, MIA
    15. DeAndre Hopkins, ARI
    16. Allen Lazard, GB
    17. Courtland Sutton, DEN
    18. Amari Cooper, CLE
    19. Chris Olave, NO
    20. Christian Kirk, JAC
    21. Brandin Cooks, HOU
    22. Josh Reynolds, DET
    23. Rondale Moore, ARI
    24. Diontae Johnson, PIT

    *My WR Rankings

    TE Preview

    “A landing bailed out Fantasy house owners who depended on Kyle Pitts in Week 6. It will have additionally supplied one closing off-ramp in case you are having a look to transport him.

    “While Pitts did score in Week 6 he also posted 19 yards for the third time this season. He was also out-targeted by both Drake London and Olamide Zaccheaus. Pitts is clearly not the No. 1 option in this offense like he was in the second half of 2021, and the pie has shrunk considerably.”

    Consensus Expert Top 12

    1. Travis Kelce, KC
    2. Mark Andrews, BAL
    3. George Kittle, SF
    4. Zach Ertz, ARI
    5. David Njoku, CLE
    6. Darren Waller, LV
    7. T.J. Hockenson, DET
    8. Robert Tonyan, GB
    9. Evan Engram, JAC
    10. Kyle Pitts, ATL
    11. Gerald Everett, LAC
    12. Taysom Hill, NO

    *My TE Rankings

    Last week, I advocated for Marquise Brown as a buy-high candidate. Hopefully you were not in a position to effectively pull off any strikes for him, as a result of he will leave out an important period of time with a foot harm. That’s unhealthy information for him, clearly, but additionally for Kyler Murray and this whole Cardinals offense that used to be almost about to get DeAndre Hopkins again from his suspension. I had Murray as a buy-low candidate closing week, in order that one stings doubly. 

    Of direction, no one can see the longer term, particularly in the case of accidents. That used to be simply unhealthy good fortune, however it is the type of unhealthy good fortune that can have left your crew in a hollow. Let’s see if we will’t lend a hand in the market. Let’s search for some extra business applicants heading into Week 7 — and in case you are having a look to make your personal trades, you should definitely take a look at Dave Richard’s Trade Values Chart so you understand how to make the proper provides. 

    Three to buy-low

    • Ezekiel Elliott – I don’t believe we are ever going to look Elliott be an elite Fantasy choice once more, however Prescott’s go back can best imply just right issues for him. Prescott throws to his working backs somewhat greater than we’ve got observed from Cooper Rush thus far, which can lend a hand, however the larger factor is solely that Elliott goes to have much more scoring alternatives with the offense transferring the ball higher. He had 10 touchdowns in 17 video games closing season, however has simply two in seven video games thus far this season. The Cowboys have proven no inclination to depart from Elliott — he has performed no less than 61% of the snaps in each and every of the previous 5 video games — and this function is ready to get much more precious. He’s most certainly an RB2 transferring ahead. 
    • Joe Mixon – Mixon has performed no less than 66% of the snaps in each recreation this season and no less than 70% in all however one recreation, one thing he best did in part his video games closing season. That is most commonly manifesting in additional alternatives for pass-catching, which is a brilliant factor, as Mixon is already greater than midway to a career-high in catches. He’s were given a league-high 16 touches inside the 10-yard line with simply two touchdowns to turn for it. Mixon is getting the utilization to be an elite Fantasy choice, and if the landing good fortune regresses in the proper path, he will be a top-five again. 
    • George Kittle – Kittle were given a much-needed 16.3 PPR issues in Week 6, which will have to assuage one of the most issues folks have about him. However, his total manufacturing nonetheless seems to be beautiful middling, with 45.5 yards according to recreation representing his lowest mark since he used to be a rookie. However, Kittle remains to be averaging 4.8 receptions according to recreation, slightly below closing season’s 5.1 mark, so the largest factor this is that Kittle simply is not getting many downfield targets — his ADoT is right down to a career-low 4.1 yards, lower than part closing season’s mark. I feel that is partly a mirrored image of the absence of left take on Trent Williams, whose absence has hampered the offense as an entire. Williams is predicted again this week, and I feel Kittle goes to take off and go back to his rightful position as a top-five tight finish. 

    One to buy-high

    • Kenneth Walker – I’m no longer positive Walker goes to be a top-12 working again the remainder of the way in which, however I feel he has that roughly upside. It’ll rely on whether or not Seattle will get him concerned within the passing recreation. He ran a direction on 40% of the crew’s dropbacks in his first get started, which is a good mark, however no longer a super one. He’ll most certainly by no means be a excessive goal man, but when he can settle in round 3-4 according to recreation, top-12 upside is inside of his achieve, as a result of I do be expecting him to proceed to be superb as a runner. He’s were given explosive big-play talent and goes to get numerous carries. Walker is any individual you need for your crew, even though he prices you. 

    Three to sell-high

    • Zach Ertz – Ertz lately ranks 1/3 amongst all tight results in anticipated Fantasy issues according to recreation at 15.7, whilst he is averaging a slightly paltry 12.8 PPR issues according to recreation. That’s nonetheless just right for third-best on the position, however for the reason that he is underperforming his function, should not that make him a buy-low? Nah. Expected stats exist to check out to spot what a median participant would produce in a given state of affairs, however at this level, I don’t believe Ertz is a median participant, even on the tight finish position. He’s benefited from an enormous function within the Cardinals offense however they are leaving issues at the box each time they aim him. Ertz has grew to become 11 purple zone targets — tied with Mark Andrews for the fifth-most of any participant this season — into simply 4 catches, 20 yards, and two touchdowns. Ertz remains to be going to get sufficient targets to be price beginning, in all chance, however with DeAndre Hopkins again from his suspension, I’m going to bet Ertz is not going to be the go-to choice within the purple zone. That’s going to be just right for the Cardinals offense and unhealthy for Ertz. There’s not anything improper with having a good finish who can provide you with 10-12 issues according to recreation, however I don’t believe Ertz is anything else greater than that. 
    • JuJu Smith-Schuster – Smith-Schuster’s field ranking line seemed higher than he if truth be told performed in Week 6, I believed. That’s to not say Smith-Schuster performed unhealthy, I simply do not assume the 113-yard-and-a-touchdown efficiency used to be essentially the breakout you have been ready on. He nonetheless had simply 5 of the Chiefs 40 targets and best 35 air yards, the latter of which is if truth be told his lowest overall in a recreation since Week 2. Most of his manufacturing got here on a catch 7 yards previous the road of scrimmage the place 3 Bills defenders converged and one way or the other controlled not to carry him down, turning a brief acquire right into a 42-yard landing. Take benefit of a kind-of-fluke-y huge recreation from a man whose function nonetheless does not glance precious — and who simply is probably not a specifically just right playmaker at this level in his profession — to promote. 
    • Brian Robinson – Robinson is an out of this world tale, which is why I hate to argue in opposition to him, even for Fantasy. I’m rooting for him, I simply do not assume he will be a lot more than a low-end Fantasy choice, and he may well be valued as one thing greater than that presently. Robinson had 5 yards over anticipated in Week 6, according to NFL Next Gen Stats, which says that he principally were given what used to be blocked for him and no longer a lot else. He’s a large again however no longer essentially a dynamic athlete, and I feel extra ceaselessly than no longer, he will get what’s blocked for him — on this Washington offense, that would possibly not result in large chunks of yards, extra ceaselessly than no longer. Add in that he is not going to usurp both Antonio Gibson or J.D. McKissic for passing downs, and I feel you are looking at a touchdown-or-bust RB3 — like a lower-upside model of Damien Harris. If any individual values him as an RB2, transfer him now. 

    One to sell-low

    • D’Andre Swift – I legitimately assume Swift may well be one of the most 5 maximum gifted working backs in soccer. If no longer, he indubitably has one of the most Fantasy friendliest ability units of any working again, due to his prowess as a pass-catcher and his knack for giant performs. The drawback is, he is struggled to stick wholesome, having now overlooked more than one video games in each and every of his 3 NFL seasons. Injuries occur, particularly to working backs, however Dan Campbell mentioned desiring to stay Swift wholesome in coaching camp, and Swift could not even make it thru two video games prior to getting harm — he suffered an ankle harm prior to lacking the previous two video games with a shoulder harm. Will the Lions agree with him for 15 touches according to recreation? Can he take care of that? Or is he fated to be a shockingly explosive function participant? The latter is my fear, and it is why I’m rating him as extra of an RB2 for Week 7 — and why I’d be having a look to promote if any individual perspectives him as a top-12 man. 

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