Fantasy basketball tips and NBA betting picks for Wednesday

ESPN’s delusion basketball and basketball betting tips cheat sheet is your pregame vacation spot for basketball betting predictions and our absolute best intel and knowledge that can assist you make sensible delusion and wagering choices. NBA sport odds for October 19 are equipped by means of Caesars Sportsbook, and delusion recommendation is in line with ESPN 10-team leagues..

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What you want to understand for Wednesday’s NBA slate

Get Your Popcorn Ready: Tonight is the season opener for the Grizzlies and during the last two seasons Ja Morant has carried out not anything however snatch the instant. In 2020, he hung 44 issues at the Spurs to move at the side of 9 assists and only one turnover (Nikola Jokic used to be the one different participant all season to succeed in all of the ones thresholds in one sport.) Last season, he dropped a game-high 37 issues (making 16-of-25 two-point photographs) at the Cavaliers whilst main the Grizzlies with six assists.

Money Mavs: Dallas used to be 24-17 ATS at the highway ultimate season, together with 4 covers that got here in losses. In the ones highway covers, they averaged 114.8 PPG and gave up simply 104.7 PPG. Combine that with the truth that our BPI places them over 112 issues and their implied general of 106.5 issues in Phoenix this night turns out low when you imagine they may be able to stay this sport tight.

Making up for Melo: The Hornets would possibly not have big name guard L. a.Melo Ball within the lineup towards the Spurs this night because of an ankle harm. Gordon Hayward (32% to be had) may see extra playmaking alternatives, whilst 3-and-D heart P.J. Washington (34%) may tackle further scoring tasks. For those that drafted Ball or just wish to bolster backcourt intensity, San Antonio’s Tre Jones (34%) may provide robust passing manufacturing, as his wholesome help prop (7.5) suggests.

The Return Of Zion: Zion Williamson tweaked his ankle within the preseason however will play within the Pelicans’ season opener this night. Williamson has scored 20-plus issues in every of the previous 15 video games he is performed, taking pictures 59% from the sector. Our analytics like this to be some of the top-3 absolute best scoring video games of the evening and if that is the case, Williamson can be closely concerned towards an offensive minded Nets group.

Troubled Trail Blazers: The go back of Damian Lillard can be nice to observe, however he would possibly not masks the problems at the Trail Blazers’ roster. Portland went 2-7 ATS in Lillard’s ultimate 9 video games ultimate season, however once more, the leisure worth may smartly be there. The Trail Blazers had been underdogs in 3 of the ones video games (like they’re this night) and all 3 of the ones video games went over the overall with Lillard averaging 31.3 PPG.

by means of Jim McCormick and Kyle Soppe

Games of the evening

New York Knicks at Memphis Grizzlies
7:30 p.m ET on ESPN, FedExForum, Memphis, Tennessee

Line: Grizzlies (-6)
Money line: Grizzlies (-240), Knicks (+196)
Total: 226 issues
BPI Projected Total: 226.6 issues
BPI Win%: Grizzlies (65.5%)

Doubtful: Dillon Brooks (thigh)
Ruled out: Jaren Jackson Jr. (foot), Ziaire Williams (knee)

Note: BPI numbers factored in avid gamers who’re dominated out however assumes questionable avid gamers will play

Fantasy streamer: Santi Aldama and John Konchar usually are the beginning frontcourt for the Grizzlies this night, with Dillon Brooks most probably becoming a member of Jaren Jackson Jr. and Ziaire Williams at the sidelines. Aldama began all pre-season and confirmed himself in a position to double-digit scoring, 3-point taking pictures and rebounding when given mins. Konchar is extra of a job participant, but when he begins he may additionally ranking in double digits with respectable peripheral numbers. — André Snellings

Best wager: Jalen Brunson over 18.5 issues. I simply wrote a piece of writing on how I be expecting Brunson to moderate greater than 20 PPG this season. In addition, the Grizzlies tend to be pleasant to opposing level guards. Last season, opposing level guards averaged 23.5 PPG and 8.1 APG. — Snellings

Best wager: RJ Barrett over 30.5 issues + rebounds + assists. Barrett signed a four-year, $107 million contract extension this offseason and I imagine he will begin to ship on that contract this night towards the Grizzlies. Barrett must see extra high quality shot makes an attempt taking part in along Brunson. He averaged 20.0 PPG 6.0 RPG, and 3.0 APG ultimate season. — Eric Moody

Dallas Mavericks at Phoenix Suns
10 p.m ET on ESPN, Footprint Center, Phoenix, Arizona

Line: Suns (-5)
Money line: Suns (-190), Mavericks (+158)
Total: 216.5 issues
BPI Projected Total: 222.8 issues
BPI Win%: Mavericks (60.8%)

Questionable: Maxi Kleber (sickness)
Ruled out: Landry Shamet (hip), Jae Crowder (non-public), Frank Ntilikina (ankle), Davis Bertans (inactive record)

Breaking down the remainder of the slate

Orlando Magic at Detroit Pistons
7 p.m ET, Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, Michigan

Line: Pistons (-3.5)
Money line: Pistons (-170), Magic (+143)
Total: 217 issues
BPI Projected Total: 217.1 issues
BPI Win%: Pistons (55.5%)

Ruled out: Markelle Fultz (toe), Gary Harris (knee), Jonathan Isaac (hamstring), Moritz Wagner (ankle), Marvin Bagley III (knee), Alec Burks (foot), Isaiah Livers (hip)

Best wager: Paolo Banchero over 13.5 issues. Banchero would be the basis for a rebuilding Magic group. Orlando ranked twenty ninth in issues according to sport ultimate season and Banchero, the No. 1 total select this previous June, will get started at energy ahead towards a Pistons group that allowed 112.5 issues according to sport ultimate season. Detroit must battle to compare his physicality and athleticism within the paint. Banchero averaged 14.0 issues in 24.2 mins all the way through the preseason. — Moody

Washington Wizards at Indiana Pacers
7 p.m ET, Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, Indiana

Line: Wizards (-2)
Money line: Wizards (-130), Pacers (+110)
Total: 228 issues
BPI Projected Total: 225.1 issues
BPI Win%: Pacers (51.8%)

Questionable: Vernon Carey Jr. (concussion), Aaron Nesmith (foot)
Ruled out: Corey Kispert (ankle), Daniel Theis (leisure)

Best wager: Tyrese Haliburton over 15.5 issues. Haliburton used to be traded to the Pacers on the time limit ultimate season and after arriving in Indiana, he averaged 17.5 PPG and shot 50.2% from the sector. Haliburton would be the Pacers’ place to begin guard this 12 months after Malcolm Brogdon used to be traded to the Celtics within the offseason and can have a chance to guide this offense. — Moody

Houston Rockets at Atlanta Hawks
7:30 p.m ET, State Farm Arena, Atlanta, Georgia

Line: Hawks (-9)
Money line: Hawks (-420), Rockets (+320)
Total: 232 issues
BPI Projected Total: 230.6 issues
BPI Win%: Hawks (85.7%)

Ruled out: Bogdan Bogdanovic (kneecap), Jae’Sean Tate (ankle), TyTy Washington Jr. (knee)

Best wager: Jalen Green over 22.5 PPG (-121). Green appears in a position to take off this season. The maximum proficient scorer within the 2021 NBA draft magnificence ended his rookie season on fireplace, scoring 30 or extra issues in six of his ultimate seven video games. He has persevered within the preseason, scoring 23 or extra issues in 3 of the video games together with 33 issues in 29 mins within the finale. — Snellings

Best wager: Trae Young double-double (+159). In 76 video games ultimate season, Young averaged 28.4 PPG and 9.7 APG. Dejounte Murray, who had a occupation 12 months with the Spurs, joins him in Atlanta, and I believe the 2 can coexist at the courtroom and nonetheless be triumphant in my opinion. They’ll be at the ground in combination so much. Young must have vital good fortune as a scorer and facilitator towards a Rockets protection that completed ultimate season ranked thirtieth in defensive ranking. Furthermore, Houston allowed an astounding 25.0 transition issues according to sport. — Moody

New Orleans Pelicans at Brooklyn Nets
7:30 p.m ET, Barclays Center, Brooklyn, New York

Line: Nets (-3)
Money line: Nets (-250), Pelicans (+135)
Total: 230.5 issues
BPI Projected Total: 228 issues
BPI Win%: Nets (67.4%)

Ruled out: Seth Curry (ankle), Joe Harris (ankle), T.J. Warren (foot), Kira Lewis Jr. (knee)

Best wager: Kyrie Irving over 24.5 issues (-121). Irving handiest performed 29 video games ultimate season, most commonly because of his vaccination standing, but if he did take the courtroom he used to be a statistical dynamo. Shooting 47% from the sector, Irving averaged 27.4 issues, 4.4 rebounds, 5.8 assists and 1.4 steals. For this sport, the road is about at 231 issues, implying a large number of issues can be scored. Look to Kyrie. — Moody

Chicago Bulls at Miami Heat
7:30 p.m ET, FTX Arena, Miami, Florida

Line: Heat (-6.5)
Money line: Heat (-250), Bulls (+205)
Total: 216.5 issues
BPI Projected Total: 220.3 issues
BPI Win%: Heat (77.7%)

Questionable: Alex Caruso (calf)
Ruled out: Zach LaVine (knee), Lonzo Ball (knee), Omer Yurtseven (ankle), Victor Oladipo (knee)

Best wager: Bam Adebayo over 2.5 assists (-148). This season the Heat can have most commonly the similar roster, and Adebayo will proceed to be crucial playmaker. He performed in 56 video games because of proper thumb surgical procedure, averaging 19.1 PPG, 10.1 RPG, and 3.4 APG. In 13 occupation video games towards the Bulls, Adebayo has averaged 3.5 assists. — Moody

Cleveland Cavaliers at Toronto Raptors
7:30 p.m ET, Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, Ontario

Line: Raptors (-2.5)
Money line: Raptors (-135), Cavaliers (+115)
Total: 214.5 issues
BPI Projected Total: 212.5 issues
BPI Win%: Raptors (67.3%)

Doubtful: Chris Boucher (hamstring)
Ruled out: Otto Porter Jr. (hamstring), Ricky Rubio (knee)

Best wager: Cavaliers +2.5. My advice is to again the underdog. The Cavaliers have the entire items in position to grow to be a sound Eastern Conference contender with Donovan Mitchell. Cleveland completed twentieth in offensive ranking ultimate season, which must make stronger with Darius Garland and Mitchell within the backcourt. Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen performed a the most important function within the Cavaliers score 5th in defensive ranking ultimate season. In this matchup, Cleveland has the benefit. — Moody

Oklahoma City Thunder at Minnesota Timberwolves
8 p.m ET, Target Center, Minneapolis, Minnesota

Line: Timberwolves (-10.5)
Money line: Timberwolves (-600), Thunder (+430)
Total: 227 issues
BPI Projected Total: 226.5 issues
BPI Win%: Timberwolves (85.7%)

Ruled out: Chet Holmgren (foot), Eric Paschall (ankle/Achilles)

Best wager: Thunder +10.5 (-110). To be candid, I believe the Timberwolves are appreciated by means of an excessive amount of. Oklahoma City completed the preseason 5-1 regardless of no longer having Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. The Thunder allowed 14.4 fewer issues according to 100 possessions with Kenrich Williams at the ground (100.3) than with out him (114.7). This sport might be nearer than anticipated. — Moody

Charlotte Hornets at San Antonio Spurs
8 p.m ET, AT&T Center, San Antonio, Texas

Line: Hornets (-1.5)
Money line: Hornets (-125), Spurs (+105)
Total: 225.5 issues
BPI Projected Total: 230.9 issues
BPI Win%: Hornets (58.8%)

Ruled out: L. a.Melo Ball (ankle)

Fantasy streamer: Keldon Johnson over 22.5 issues. Johnson signed a four-year, $80 million extension with the Spurs within the offseason. Johnson turns into San Antonio’s offensive point of interest with Dejounte Murray in Atlanta. Last season, he averaged 17.0 PPG because the Spurs’ second-leading scorer. Johnson is easily situated to moderate 20 or extra issues according to sport this season. -Moody

Denver Nuggets at Utah Jazz
9 p.m ET, Vivint Arena, Salt Lake City, Utah

Line: Nuggets (-8)
Money line: Nuggets (-345), Jazz (+270)
Total: 221 issues
BPI Projected Total: 221.2 issues
BPI Win%: Jazz (51.6%)

Ruled out: Udoka Azubuike (ankle)

Fantasy streamer: Kelly Olynyk, Utah Jazz. Olynyk is probably the most skilled heart on Utah’s roster and may play 30 or extra mins towards the Nuggets. He’s handiest rostered in 13.8% of ESPN leagues, even after placing up 19.1 issues, 9.3 rebounds and 5.8 assists according to 40 mins a season in the past.

Analytics Edge

BPI’s absolute best projected totals

1. Atlanta Hawks (121.3)
2. Minnesota Timberwolves (119.3)
3. Charlotte Hornets (116.7)

BPI’s lowest projected totals

1. Cleveland Cavaliers (103.9)
2. Chicago Bulls (107.2)
3. Oklahoma City Thunder (107.2)

BPI peak chance to win (directly up)

1. Atlanta Hawks (85.7%)
2. Minnesota Timberwolves (85.7%)
3. Miami Heat (77.7%)

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