Chiefs by the Numbers: Skyy Moore has 5 yards separation through Week 5

In this sequence, we evaluate the Kansas City Chiefs’ efficiency basically the use of Next Gen Stats (NGS) in conjunction with different complicated metrics that flip up right through the season. For any questions about the statistics used on this sequence, please consult with our Football Analytics Glossary and Metrics web page.


Week 5 passing evaluate

On Monday, in opposition to the Las Vegas Raiders, Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes had a impressive recreation.

Mahomes used to be 29 of 43 for 292 yards and 4 touchdowns. Mahomes used to be beneath consistent drive all night time lengthy from Maxx Crosby and Chandler Jones. The quarterback adjusted to this by having his second-lowest Time to Throw in keeping with move of 2.62 seconds and simplest had an reasonable meant air yards of 6.8 yards in keeping with move — his lowest of the season.

This building of “taking what the defense gives him” is a welcome signal for Chiefs fanatics. Expect to look extra of this quick passing recreation subsequent week in opposition to the Bills, who’ve a top-eight pass-rush as a workforce, in keeping with NFL Analytics.

Mahomes Week 5

Chiefs receiving evaluate through Week 5

Through 5 weeks of the NFL season, the Chiefs’ receiving corps has been just a little of a blended bag. Each week, you’ll be able to see flashes of various avid gamers stepping up and being productive on this offense. Against the Raiders, we noticed large receiver Marquez Valdes-Scantling opt for six catches and 90 yards. Fellow large receiver Mecole Hardman additionally had his highest recreation of the season.

With such a lot of new faces, Chiefs fanatics will have to have anticipated this receiving corps to want time to get on the identical web page with Mahomes. Here are their NextGen receiving stats for the yr.

Player Rec Tgt Csh Sep TAY TAY% YC/R xYC/R +/-
Travis Kelce 33 42 5.5 2.4 8.4 25.3 4.5 3.7 0.8
Marquez Valdes-Scantling 19 31 6.2 2.9 10.7 23.7 4.6 5.2 -0.6
Mecole Hardman 12 17 7.0 3.1 10.7 13.0 5.5 4.3 1.2
Juju Smith-Schuster 22 35 6.2 2.9 8.4 20.9 6.2 4.3 1.9

  • Cushion (Csh) is the distance (in yards) measured between a pass-catcher and the defender they’re covered up in opposition to at the time of snap on all objectives.
  • Separation (Sep) is the distance (in yards) measured between a pass-catcher and the nearest defender at the time of catch or incompletion.
  • Average Targeted Air Yards (TAY) is the reasonable passing Air Yards in keeping with goal for the receiver. This stat signifies how a long way downfield they’re being focused on reasonable.
  • % Share of Team’s Air Yards (TAY%) is the receiver’s overall meant air yards (all makes an attempt) divided by the workforce’s overall meant air yards. This represents how a lot of a workforce’s deep yards the participant accounts for.
  • Yards After Catch (YC/R) is the yards won after catch by a receiver divided by the collection of receptions.
  • Expected Yards After Catch (xYC) is the anticipated yards after the catch, in keeping with a lot of components the use of monitoring information equivalent to how open the receiver is, how briskly they’re touring, what number of defenders/blockers are in area, and many others.
  • YAC Above Expectation (+/-) A receiver’s precise yards after the catch in comparison to their Expected yards after the catch.

In order to be correct, NextGen Stats cuts off avid gamers who’ve not up to 15 objectives, which is why you don’t see Skyy Moore or Justin Watson.

Digging into the stats, it presentations an attractive correct image of what this receiving corps is. This staff is constant, deep and is getting higher as the weeks move by. JuJu Smith-Schuster and Travis Kelce each don’t get a lot separation because of the in-breaking and over-the-middle routes they run, but if they get the ball, they do injury with it of their arms. Smith-Schuster in particular has an improbable YAC Above Expectation of one.9 yards in keeping with catch, just right for eleventh amongst certified receivers.

Head trainer Andy Reid and corporate will have to be in search of ingenious techniques to get Smith-Schuster open so he can show off this ability extra continuously. Valdes-Scantling — in spite of his YAC Above Expectation of -0.6 — is enjoying his place of “X” in Reids’ offense extraordinarily neatly. He’s being focused down the box with an Average Targeted Air Yards (TAY) of 10.7 and has been making his justifiable share of performs. I be expecting his reference to Mahomes to proceed to beef up.

Where I believe this Chiefs workforce can beef up is by getting Hardman extra concerned down the box and getting Moore concerned any place on the box. Hardman’s reasonable cushion of 7 yards is the best on the workforce — and this can be used to unfastened him up down the box for large performs (like we noticed in his 36-yard achieve on fourth-and-15).

When it involves Moore, I imagine you’ll proceed to look him get extra concerned each week, however the possible for him is limitless on this Reid offense. Moore hasn’t been given a ton of alternative, but if he has had an opportunity, he plays the highest of any large receiver the Chiefs have. He had an unreal 5.11 yards of separation in keeping with path run this week.

Expect extra from Moore as the season progresses.

Andy Reid and going for it on fourth down

If there is one subject that is been claimed by the soccer analytics neighborhood, it is the choice to head for it on fourth down or no longer. Ben Baldwin is the founder of this data, and he presentations simply how conservative Reid goes for it on fourth down.

With the Chiefs’ opponent this week being the maximum competitive on fourth down, I guess this can be a speaking level if the Chiefs are in an in depth recreation come Sunday.

I’m of the trust to head for it extra continuously than no longer, and considered one of the largest performs of the Raider recreation used to be made on the choice to punt with 2:36 left in the fourth quarter.

By kicking the box purpose, the Chiefs misplaced a whopping 9% win likelihood, in line with ESPN’s Seth Walder. The Chiefs have been fortunate to not surrender issues to the Raiders on that closing power, wanting a questionable sideline catch name and two Raiders receivers operating into themselves to keep away from a possible game-winning box purpose by considered one of the maximum correct kickers in soccer.

Being extra competitive on fourth down can be a just right factor, particularly in case you have Mahomes at quarterback.

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