A way too early look at the playoff picture based on the odds

Five weeks of the NFL season are in the books. It’s surely too early to head too extensive inspecting the playoff picture, particularly with such a lot of 3-2 or 2-3 groups scattered throughout the league. However, BetMGM does lately have odds posted for every group to make the playoffs. They alternate each and every week. Teams like the Denver Broncos have noticed their odds shift significantly in fresh weeks. After Week 5, what do the having a bet odds let us know about which groups are more likely to make the playoffs?

AFC race

Entering the season, maximum considered the AFC as the extra wide-open of the two meetings. While some groups have underperformed expectancies, there are nonetheless a large number of groups in the combine. The Bills and Chiefs have 4 wins on the season. The Texans, Steelers and Raiders have only one win. However, the 11 different groups in the convention have both two or 3 wins. What do oddsmakers recall to mind what we have noticed thus far, and the way are they projecting the remainder of the season?

The playoff locks

Buffalo (-3000 to make the playoffs, 96.8% likelihood): Not a lot must be stated about the Buffalo Bills. They’re the Super Bowl favorites.

Kansas City (-1000 to make playoffs, 90.9% likelihood): A lot of other folks concept this could be the yr the Kansas City Chiefs had important festival of their department, however they are lately -250 favorites to win the AFC West.

Looking just right

Baltimore (-350 to make playoffs, 77.8% likelihood): Off to a 3-2 get started, the Ravens are -200 favorites to win the AFC North. Lamar Jackson is +550 to win NFL MVP, the third-best odds at the back of Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes.

LA Chargers (-200 to make playoffs, 66.7% likelihood): Despite some key accidents and questionable training choices, the Chargers are off to a 3-2 get started.

On the bubble

Miami (-175 to make playoffs, 63.6% likelihood): The Dolphins had been -450 favorites to make the playoffs at this time ultimate yr. They’ve misplaced again to again video games, and are 3.5-point underdogs this weekend as they plan to begin Skylar Thompson at quarterback.

Indianapolis (-125 to make playoffs, 55.6% likelihood): The Colts had a large win ultimate Thursday to stay their season on the tracks. Now, they in finding themselves as slight having a bet favorites to win the AFC South at +180.

Tennessee (-105 to make playoffs, 51.2% likelihood): It used to be an unpleasant get started for the Titans, however they have righted the send, successful 3 immediately video games. They have an excellent likelihood to win their department, and despite the fact that they do not, the wild card is not out of the query.

Cincinnati (+100 to make playoffs, 50% likelihood): The reigning AFC champions are off to a 2-3 get started and oddsmakers suppose it is a coin turn as as to if they’re going to make the playoffs.

Jacksonville (+155 to make playoffs, 39.2% likelihood): There used to be some pleasure surrounding Jacksonville a couple of weeks in the past, however back-to-back losses and a few deficient play from Trevor Lawrence put a damper on that. The department may be very winnable although, and that is the reason their possibly trail.

CINCINNATI, OH - SEPTEMBER 29: Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow (9) looks at the scoreboard during the game against the Miami Dolphins and the Cincinnati Bengals on September 29, 2022, at Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati, OH.  (Photo by Ian Johnson/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)
Joe Burrow and the Bengals are a coin turn to make the NFL playoffs. (Ian Johnson/Icon Sportswire by the use of Getty Images)

Outside having a look in

Cleveland (+225 to make playoffs, 30.8% likelihood): The Browns have misplaced to the Jets and Falcons. They had a possibility to overcome the Chargers, however Jacoby Brissett threw a past due pick out and Cade York ignored a box objective. Deshaun Watson continues to be a couple of weeks away.

Denver (+275 to make playoffs, 26.7% likelihood): Will getting his shoulder surgically repaired lend a hand repair Russell Wilson? It cannot get a lot worse for Wilson, Nathaniel Hackett and corporate in Denver.

New England (+275 to make playoffs, 26.7% likelihood): The Patriots are 2-3 and staying afloat, however the offense is a priority, particularly with Mac Jones and Damien Harris now injured.

Las Vegas (+325 to make playoffs, 23.5% likelihood): The Raiders had a possibility to modify the trajectory in their season with a large disappointed over the Chiefs on Monday night time. This is a skilled group, however 1-4 will likely be exhausting to triumph over.

NY Jets (+475 to make playoffs, 17.4% likelihood): The Jets are 3-2 which is very encouraging for his or her lovers as a bevy of younger avid gamers have proven the skill to win video games. Oddsmakers do not like their possibilities of making the playoffs, however they look like they may be able to be a aggressive, pesky bunch this season.

The lengthy pictures

Pittsburgh (16-to-1 to make playoffs, 5.9% likelihood): We’re neatly on our way to Mike Tomlin’s first shedding season.

Houston (18-to-1 to make playoffs, 5.3% likelihood): Davis Mills is not it, however Dameon Pierce has proven some thrilling flashes.

NFC race

In the NFC, the Eagles are 5-0 and 3 different groups are 4-1. Only 3 groups have only one win. Overall, 9 groups have both two or 3 wins. Oddsmakers appear to suppose there is a transparent haves and have-nots scenario in the NFC.

The playoff locks

Philadelphia (-5000 to make playoffs, 98% likelihood): The Eagles are the lone undefeated group final in soccer.

Tampa Bay (-900 to make playoffs, 90% likelihood): The Buccaneers are simply 3-2, however the NFC South gives little or no festival.

Looking just right

Minnesota (-600 to make playoffs, 85.7% likelihood): This feels a little bit prime for the Vikings, however there is no denying they’re 4-1 and feature a head-to-head win in opposition to the greatest festival of their department.

Dallas (-450 to make playoffs, 81.8% likelihood): The Cowboys are 4-0 with Cooper Rush below heart. Dak Prescott will have to go back in the coming weeks, which in idea will free up the next ceiling for his or her offense.

San Francisco (-300 to make playoffs, 75% likelihood): The San Francisco 49ers are 3-2 in spite of coping with a choice of accidents. They’re now -165 favorites to win the NFC West.

Green Bay (-275 to make playoffs, 73.3% likelihood): There’s indisputably a advantage of the doubt being given to Green Bay right here at this worth. They’ve been some distance from spectacular to open the season.

On the bubble

LA Rams (-135 to make playoffs, 57.5% likelihood): The Rams are simply 2-3 to open the season and so they look like a large number alongside the offensive line. They even have the hardest final time table in soccer. Can the protecting champions truly leave out the playoffs?

NY Giants (+110 to make playoffs, 47.6% likelihood): A 4-1 get started interprets to a playoff spot way greater than 47.6% of the time, however those odds display that oddsmakers nonetheless are not bought on this Giants group.

New Orleans (+200 to make playoffs, 33.3% likelihood): At 2-3, the Saints are off to a disappointing get started. They’ve passed Carolina their handiest win and survived nail-biters in opposition to Atlanta and Seattle. The skill is there and Jameis Winston will have to go back sooner or later, although I’m now not positive how a lot better he’s than Andy Dalton.

Outside having a look in

Arizona (+300 to make playoffs, 25% likelihood): The Cardinals are 2-3, however issues simply really feel off between Kyler Murray and Kliff Kingsbury. Maybe the go back of DeAndre Hopkins in Week 7 will lend a hand issues.

Atlanta (+600 to make playoffs, 14.3% likelihood): The Falcons are the handiest group that is undefeated in opposition to the unfold and they have picked up two wins in spite of being an underdog in all 5 in their video games.

Washington (+800 to make playoffs, 11.1% likelihood): If Carson Wentz punches it in on the objective line as an alternative of throwing an interception at the finish in their Week 5 recreation, the Commanders’ outlook could be a lot other.

The lengthy pictures

Chicago (10-to-1 to make playoffs, 9.1% likelihood): They’ve been aggressive, however there may be severe questions on the passing offense.

Detroit (10-to-1 to make playoffs, 9.1% likelihood): Last week excluded, their offense has been dynamite. Their protection is a significant factor although.

Seattle (10-to-1 to make playoffs, 9.1% likelihood): Geno Smith has outplayed Russell Wilson, identical to all of us anticipated. Despite that, the Seahawks are simply 2-3.

Leave a Comment