3 mildly bold, 2 vaguely Debbie Downer predictions for the 2022-23 Sixers

On a contemporary (*3*)“Talking About Podcast” with host Sean Kennedy, Sean and I made some predictions for the season. Definitely give {that a} concentrate in case you haven’t already.

I feel on maximum of the issues we took place to disagree upon, Sean made the extra persuasive arguments. He comes off slightly extra glass part complete than I did too. He even has himself apprehensive with how constructive he’s for this coming season.

I’m going to provide an explanation for a bit of bit about why I a) took the Sixers below 50.5 wins, b) handiest had Joel Embiid completing 7th in MVP vote casting, and c) why I picked Tyrese Maxey, and no longer James Harden to make the All-Star staff. If you sought after to name any of the ones daring predictions I guess all of the ones may have compatibility. The first two might be noticed as Debbie Downer alternatives, and the 3rd may for Harden, a minimum of.

I’m used to being flawed in this stuff, so stay that during thoughts. But right here we move.

Why I took the below on 50.5 video games, and had Embiid no longer completing top-five for MVP

Joel has made transparent he isn’t only taken with particular person awards this 12 months. That’s the greatest factor for his MVP probabilities.

If wholesome all 12 months, the Sixers will simply win greater than 50 video games. I wouldn’t crown this staff higher than the 2019 Jimmy Butler Sixers but, but it surely does seem like the maximum gifted and private staff Embiid has had since then. And he’s advanced a ton since then too. Our Tom West known as for wing intensity, and Harden’s pay minimize allowed Daryl Morey to ship. Now the Sixers’ age previous weak spot looks as if a power.

But amongst true identify contenders, the Sixers seem to have a gorgeous prime harm possibility profile. You may, after all, say the identical about the Denver Nuggets, the Brooklyn Nets, the Los Angeles Clippers, and a pair others. There also are the groups which might be lovely fragile, like the Dallas Mavericks, since they’ve a complete carton of eggs in a single sensational Slovenian basket, for instance.

Between Embiid’s harm historical past and play taste, Harden’s two-year hamstring factor, and P.J. Tucker’s age, plus contemporary knee process, the Sixers fee on the upper finish amongst a few of these peak groups for possibility profile. They’re going to need to include true, formulaic Adam Silver and a few fanatics will whine, load control, the kind that the title-winning Spurs and Raptors embraced. If no longer, they are going to need to maintain some key absences.

Each key participant comes along with his personal dangers.

When remaining we noticed Embiid play a playoff sport, commentators famous he’d fallen to the ground round ten instances in the first part on my own! He took out Danny Green on a kind of falls. A couple of nights in the past, he had a horrifying collision with Tucker’s not-yet-One hundred pc knee that necessitated consideration.

Embiid is certainly one of the 5 perfect avid gamers in the game, however all of us perceive he is taking numerous spills, many after all, strategically.

After observing the few possessions we noticed of the Sixers this preseason, it kind of feels there can be some validity to the concept Embiid is striking a bit extra of an emphasis on protection, and no more on the scoring burden.

That’s nice information. Still, there can be some spills that depart his greatest fanatics slightly fearful.

As diehard fanatics of Embiid know, the two scariest moments observing him play are when he 1.) speeds up and leaps for a dunk, particularly in site visitors. Several of his accidents and worst falls have come that means. And 2.) when he is going onerous for a block on the transfer.

Notice the couple instances Joel tries to dam Garland from preseason above. He has a bit of bother sticking the landings. The extra of the ones we get in a season, the much more likely a man is to pick out up some bumps and bruises alongside the means.

Nobody needs Joel to lose what makes him particular. But he has already advanced his sport significantly so as to add Eurosteps, quick pictures, deceleration, and contact to cut back possibility whilst nonetheless taking part in his perfect ball. He’s going to need to proceed with that.

If he’s gonna put extra emphasis on protection this season, he would possibly should be a bit of bit extra cognizant to land in the identical position that he jumped from, going immediately up and down in order that he’s much less prone to land on any individual else. You’re much less most likely to pick out up fouls that means too.

Here, a 40-year-old Tim Duncan completely dominates a playoff sport on the defensive finish with out striking himself in hurt’s means, (and all with about 75 % much less athleticism than our present MVP-caliber Embiid). Tiny jumps, touchdown the place he jumped from.

“Scorecasting” as soon as highlighted information that confirmed merely contesting a shot then securing the rebound used to be regularly extra precious than a block anyway.

So the means I see it, if Embiid continues to conform in the means he performs, he would possibly proceed to cut back the bumps and bruises he alternatives up.

Still, between the probabilities the Sixers prohibit Joel’s video games performed, or the probabilities they don’t, the odds he will get banged up, I’m taking the below on the win general, (I stated they’ll win 50 on the nostril) and feature him completing simply 7th in MVP vote casting.

The latter is most likely too low, reason he’s sensational. Even if he sits 20 video games on objective, his in keeping with sport averages when recent would possibly get him to 5th. But it used to be my spur of the second pick out on our podcast, so right here I’m explaining my rationale.

That used to be a two for one.

Maxey makes anAll-Star Game, James Harden doesn’t

Harden makes the All-Star sport yearly. And Maxey must bump a couple of ridiculously gifted guards. So this can be daring, like selecting the Sixers below 51 wins. He received’t have the G-F designation that may lend a hand a participant like Jayson Tatum or Luka Doncic. He’ll need to outplay novices to the East like Donovan Mitchell or Jalen Brunson (who could also be the general point of interest of the Knicks and submit numbers, incomes key votes). Bradley Beal could also be relatively slightly fitter. Competition can be fierce.

It received’t be simple. But if Harden is load controlled, or a step sluggish, if Embiid is load controlled or misses time, then there could also be a global the place the Sixers are leaning on Tyrese Maxey for issues closely in the first part of the season. And in the event that they’re a peak seed, he’ll be onerous to forget about.

That’s my thesis, and I’m going with it. Dude slightly overlooked in the preseason.

#Heretheycome

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