2022 Projections Review: Catchers & OF

Here’s section two of the three-part projections assessment. This one specializes in catchers and outfielders. I’ve integrated my preseason most sensible 10 catchers and most sensible 30 outfielders (minus the fellows who already confirmed up as infielders final week), in addition to others of passion.

As began final week, I undoubtedly overshot with those offensive projections. Of path, that is at all times going to occur some, however it is particularly the case this yr as a result of offense was once down around the league.

I’ll end issues up with the beginning pitching assessment subsequent week, adopted by way of the highest 111 unfastened brokers after the World Series.

Catchers

1. Salvador Perez – Royals
Projection: .265/.306/.505, 34 HR, 70 R, 95 RBI, 1 SB in 533 AB
2022 stats: .254/.292/.465, 23 HR, 48 R, 76 RBI, 0 SB in 445 AB

2. Will SmithDodgers
Projection: .266/.363/.515, 28 HR, 75 R, 82 RBI, 2 SB in 429 AB
2022 stats: .260/.343/.465, 24 HR, 68 R, 87 RBI, 1 SB in 508 AB

This appears to be like reasonably slightly higher than it might have had I projected Smith for the 578 plate appearances he in reality gained. Had I long gone that top, I might have had him at 32 homers, 88 runs scored and 96 RBI. It’s somewhat unexpected that he scored simply 68 runs, for the reason that 85% of his plate appearances got here hitting 3rd or fourth, however that is a results of Max Muncy, Cody Bellinger and Chris Taylor all handing over disappointing performances.

3. J.T. RealmutoPhillies
Projection: .258/.328/.444, 21 HR, 69 R, 79 RBI, 10 SB in 500 AB
2022 stats: .276/.342/.478, 22 HR, 75 R, 84 RBI, 21 SB in 504 AB

4. Daulton Varsho – Diamondbacks
Projection: .256/.322/.445, 18 HR, 69 R, 60 RBI, 14 SB in 472 AB
2022 stats: .235/.302/.443, 27 HR, 79 R, 74 RBI, 16 SB in 531 AB

Varsho was once lovely simply fable baseball’s No. 2 catcher in the back of Realmuto this yr. Still, I’m slightly fearful right here. His go out speed numbers were not very spectacular, and Statcast has him with an xBA of .214 and xSLG of .389. He’s now not nice within the touch division, both. On the opposite hand, it is simple to consider proceeding to take steps ahead with the bat if he leaves catching in the back of, one thing that turns out an increasing number of prone to occur given simply how smartly he passed heart box. I’m torn.

5. Alejandro Kirk – Blue Jays
Projection: .286/.350/.491, 19 HR, 57 R, 63 RBI, 1 SB in 385 AB
2022 stats: .285/.372/.415, 14 HR, 59 R, 63 RBI, 0 SB in 470 AB

If Kirk will get the ball within the air slightly extra steadily subsequent yr, 20+ homers stays practical. Kirk had 48 extra hard-hit balls than Varsho in 61 fewer at-bats.

6. Willson Contreras – Cubs
Projection: .241/.334/.456, 24 HR, 64 R, 66 RBI, 3 SB in 436 AB
2022 stats: .243/.349/.466, 22 HR, 65 R, 55 RBI, 4 SB in 416 AB

7. Mitch Garver – Rangers
Projection: .250/.345/.494, 22 HR, 56 R, 61 RBI, 1 SB in 348 AB
2022 stats: .207/.298/.404, 10 HR, 23 R, 24 RBI, 1 SB in 188 AB

8. Yasmani GrandalWhite Sox
Projection: .228/.361/.441, 23 HR, 66 R, 63 RBI, 1 SB in 413 AB
2022 stats: .202/.301/.269, 5 HR, 15 R, 27 RBI, 1 SB in 327 AB

Grandal had 375 plate appearances with a .939 OPS in 2021. He had 376 plate appearances with a .570 OPS this yr.

9. Tyler Stephenson – Reds
Projection: .273/.352/.438, 14 HR, 49 R, 50 RBI, 1 SB in 370 AB
2022 stats: .319/.372/.482, 6 HR, 24 R, 35 RBI, 1 SB in 166 AB

It’ll be attention-grabbing to peer how Stephenson is handled subsequent yr. He indubitably was once productive within the 50 video games during which he was once wholesome. However, his strikeout fee took an enormous bounce (19% in 2021, 26% this yr) and his go out speed numbers had been in reality a bit of worse than in 2021. I feel I’ll be shying away.

10. Gary Sanchez – Twins
Projection: .225/.329/.437, 21 HR, 53 R, 55 RBI, 0 SB in 382 AB
2022 stats: .205/.282/.377, 16 HR, 42 R, 61 RBI, 2 SB in 419 AB

11. Christian Vazquez – Red Sox/Astros
Projection: .254/.308/.386, 11 HR, 49 R, 50 RBI, 4 SB in 414 AB
2022 stats: .274/.315/.399, 9 HR, 41 R, 52 RBI, 1 SB in 398 AB

13. Sean Murphy – Athletics
Projection: .234/.327/.431, 18 HR, 51 R, 51 RBI, 1 SB in 367 AB
2022 stats: .250/.332/.426, 18 HR, 67 R, 66 RBI, 1 SB in 537 AB

15. Adley Rutschman – Orioles
Projection: .255/.340/.432, 11 HR, 37 R, 38 RBI, 1 SB in 271 AB
2022 stats: .254/.362/.445, 13 HR, 70 R, 42 RBI, 4 SB in 398 AB

I’ll additionally most likely be less than maximum on Rutschman subsequent yr. He’s a surprisingly spectacular younger participant, however he will be considered as an elite fable catcher and I’m now not reasonably positive he is in a position to give a contribution sufficient in reasonable or homers to get there. His hard-hit fee this yr was once in simply the thirty first percentile. I will be able to really feel higher in regards to the issues if the Orioles upload some offense in the back of him.

17. Keibert Ruiz – Nationals
Projection: .261/.315/.397, 12 HR, 43 R, 48 RBI, 0 SB in 383 AB
2022 stats: .251/.313/.360, 7 HR, 33 R, 36 RBI, 6 SB in 394 AB

21. Eric Haase – Tigers
Projection: .224/.282/.444, 18 HR, 40 R, 45 RBI, 1 SB in 313 AB
2022 stats: .254/.305/.443, 14 HR, 41 R, 44 RBI, 0 SB in 323 AB

26. Joey Bart – Giants
Projection: .237/.300/.407, 11 HR, 38 R, 40 RBI, 1 SB in 312 AB
2022 stats: .215/.296/.364, 11 HR, 34 R, 25 RBI, 0 SB in 261 AB

Bart’s strikeout fee dropped from 44% within the first part to 34% afterwards, in order that’s no less than one thing. He has 25-homer attainable if he can determine himself as a starter, however he must step it up defensively as a way to turn into the brand new Mike Zunino.

27. Cal Raleigh – Mariners
Projection: .249/.297/.434, 10 HR, 26 R, 31 RBI, 2 SB in 221 AB
2022 stats: .211/.284/.489, 27 HR, 46 R, 63 RBI, 1 SB in 370 AB

Raleigh would had been my preseason No. 10 catcher on a per-plate look foundation, and I suppose I’ll have him within the most sensible 10 subsequent yr. It’s superb that he was once swinging with any authority in any respect down the stretch this yr, given the situation of his thumb.

29. Yadier Molina – Cardinals
Projection: .246/.288/.359, 10 HR, 40 R, 50 RBI, 2 SB in 415 AB
2022 stats: .214/.233/.302, 5 HR, 19 R, 24 RBI, 2 SB in 262 AB

I’m wondering what number of extra years within the league Molina may final as a backup had he any want to move that direction. Five? There’s certainly a number of groups would have cherished to have him round, even with none actual hope of offense.

30. MJ Melendez – Royals
Projection: .248/.324/.463, 6 HR, 17 R, 18 RBI, 1 SB in 121 AB
2022 stats: .217/.313/.393, 18 HR, 57 R, 62 RBI, 2 SB in 460 AB

40. Jonah Heim – Rangers
Projection: .250/.301/.385, 6 HR, 23 R, 24 RBI, 1 SB in 208 AB
2022 stats: .227/.298/.399, 16 HR, 51 R, 48 RBI, 2 SB in 406 AB

48. William ContrerasBraves
Projection: .248/.303/.404, 4 HR, 13 R, 14 RBI, 0 SB in 109 AB
2022 stats: .278/.354/.506, 20 HR, 51 R, 45 RBI, 2 SB in 334 AB

Outfielders

1. Juan Soto – Nationals/Padres
Projection: .326/.455/.622, 40 HR, 127 R, 104 RBI, 11 SB in 537 AB
2022 stats: .242/.401/.452, 27 HR, 93 R, 62 RBI, 6 SB in 524 AB

Soto had a profession .330 BABIP prior to coming in at .249 this yr. Statcast thinks he was once slightly unfortunate, believing he must have hit .266 with a .501 slugging, nevertheless it must be famous that his reasonable go out speed dipped two mph from 2021 and his hard-hit fee fell from 52% to 47%. It’s confidently a short lived setback for the fellow who is meant to be the best hitter of his era.

2. Ronald Acuña Jr. – Braves
Projection: .286/.392/.603, 38 HR, 105 R, 85 RBI, 16 SB in 448 AB
2022 stats: .266/.351/.413, 15 HR, 71 R, 50 RBI, 29 SB in 467 AB

I do not know that Acuña will most sensible my draft board subsequent yr, however I do not consider he will are available any less than 3rd. He hit the ball tougher than his numbers recommend this yr, and his knee must be one hundred pc subsequent season.

3. Kyle Tucker – Astros
Projection: .296/.355/.564, 35 HR, 94 R, 105 RBI, 16 SB in 557 AB
2022 stats: .257/.330/.478, 30 HR, 71 R, 107 RBI, 25 SB in 544 AB

4. Mookie Betts – Dodgers
Projection: .286/.372/.524, 33 HR, 116 R, 82 RBI, 18 SB in 567 AB
2022 stats: .269/.340/.533, 35 HR, 117 R, 82 RBI, 12 SB in 572 AB

5. Luis Robert – White Sox
Projection: .280/.330/.549, 38 HR, 95 R, 101 RBI, 18 SB in 567 AB
2022 stats: .284/.319/.426, 12 HR, 54 R, 56 RBI, 11 SB in 380 AB

Wrist issues indubitably performed a job in Robert’s loss of energy this yr. He’s most certainly a larger damage chance than maximum going ahead, however I’ll nonetheless be at liberty to focus on him if his ADP tumbles.

6. Yordan Alvarez – Astros
Projection: .293/.376/.573, 39 HR, 101 R, 119 RBI, 2 SB in 550 AB
2022 stats: .306/.406/.613, 37 HR, 95 R, 97 RBI, 1 SB in 470 AB

Prorating Alvarez’s numbers to 550 at-bats will get him to 43 homers, 111 runs and 114 RBI. Statcast offers him a .462 xwOBA, almost a fit for Aaron Judge‘s .463. Third on that checklist was once Freddie Freeman at .403.

7. Byron Buxton – Twins
Projection: .280/.328/.581, 38 HR, 93 R, 87 RBI, 18 SB in 508 AB
2022 stats: .224/.306/.526, 28 HR, 61 R, 51 RBI, 6 SB in 340 AB

8. Mike Trout – Angels
Projection: .285/.420/.600, 40 HR, 105 R, 98 RBI, 6 SB in 478 AB
2022 stats: .283/.369/.630, 40 HR, 85 R, 80 RBI, 1 SB in 438 AB

9. Aaron Judge – Yankees
Projection: .281/.384/.574, 43 HR, 108 R, 99 RBI, 4 SB in 533 AB
2022 stats: .311/.425/.686, 62 HR, 133 R, 131 RBI, 16 SB in 570 AB

The 16 steals, obviously essentially the most notable a part of Judge’s season, had been yet another than he had totaled in 390 video games over the former 4 seasons.

10. Bryce Harper – Phillies
Projection: .276/.407/.556, 36 HR, 103 R, 92 RBI, 12 SB in 511 AB
2022 stats: .286/.364/.514, 18 HR, 63 R, 65 RBI, 11 SB in 370 AB

11. Tyler O’Neill – Cardinals
Projection: .264/.333/.514, 36 HR, 92 R, 95 RBI, 16 SB in 564 AB
2022 stats: .228/.308/.392, 14 HR, 56 R, 58 RBI, 14 SB in 334 AB

O’Neill indubitably did not hit the ball as not easy this yr as in his 34-homer 2021 season, however he additionally did not strike out as a lot, together with his Okay fee shedding from 31% to 27%. That turns out like a just right signal, and it must be that his energy will come again some with higher well being subsequent yr.

12. Teoscar Hernández – Blue Jays
Projection: .264/.320/.515, 36 HR, 87 R, 103 RBI, 10 SB in 557 AB
2022 stats: .267/.316/.491, 25 HR, 71 R, 77 RBI, 6 SB in 499 AB

13. Cedric Mullins – Orioles
Projection: .269/.335/.460, 24 HR, 90 R, 67 RBI, 26 SB in 587 AB
2022 stats: .258/.318/.403, 16 HR, 89 R, 64 RBI, 34 SB in 608 AB

14. Eloy Jimenez – White Sox
Projection: .287/.340/.538, 36 HR, 85 R, 107 RBI, 1 SB in 588 AB
2022 stats: .295/.358/.500, 16 HR, 40 R, 54 RBI, 0 SB in 292 AB

16. Nick Castellanos – Phillies
Projection: .281/.339/.511, 31 HR, 87 R, 104 RBI, 2 SB in 581 AB
2022 stats: .263/.305/.389, 13 HR, 56 R, 62 RBI, 7 SB in 524 AB

17. Starling Marte – Mets
Projection: .272/.331/.417, 15 HR, 83 R, 64 RBI, 28 SB in 547 AB
2022 stats: .292/.347/.468, 16 HR, 76 R, 63 RBI, 18 SB in 466 AB

18. Randy Arozarena – Rays
Projection: .262/.348/.446, 22 HR, 85 R, 81 RBI, 20 SB in 549 AB
2022 stats: .263/.327/.445, 20 HR, 72 R, 89 RBI, 32 SB in 586 AB

Arozarena once more fared reasonably slightly higher than his middling Statcast numbers recommended. He did make some actual development within the strikeout division, regardless that, going from a 28% Okay fee in 2021 to 24% this yr.

19. Alex Verdugo – Red Sox
Projection: .304/.363/.481, 18 HR, 88 R, 86 RBI, 6 SB in 553 AB
2022 stats: .280/.328/.405, 11 HR, 75 R, 74 RBI, 1 SB in 593 AB

21. Kyle Schwarber – Phillies
Projection: .258/.363/.533, 30 HR, 98 R, 86 RBI, 2 SB in 523 AB
2022 stats: .218/.323/.504, 46 HR, 100 R, 94 RBI, 10 SB in 577 AB

I paid an excessive amount of consideration to that stint at Fenway with the Red Sox (.291, 7 HR in 41 video games) as a substitute of all the frame of labor. I used to be an even quantity upper on Schwarber than his ADP, in order that’s just right. But it is a lovely dangerous projection.

24. J.D. Martinez – Red Sox
Projection: .281/.352/.502, 29 HR, 85 R, 96 RBI, 1 SB in 556 AB
2022 stats: .274/.341/.448, 16 HR, 76 R, 62 RBI, 0 SB in 533 AB

25. Cody Bellinger – Dodgers
Projection: .249/.337/.494, 32 HR, 81 R, 87 RBI, 10 SB in 506 AB
2022 stats: .210/.265/.389, 19 HR, 70 R, 68 RBI, 14 SB in 504 AB

Bellinger wasn’t as a lot of a legal responsibility this yr as in 2021, however there simply is not anything else that ends up in a lot optimism. Statcast thinks he was once necessarily the similar subpar participant each years and that he was once simply in particular unfortunate in 2021. The Dodgers need to non-tender him.

26. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. – Blue Jays
Projection: .284/.332/.505, 28 HR, 79 R, 94 RBI, 3 SB in 545 AB
2022 stats: .291/.342/.400, 5 HR, 52 R, 52 RBI, 3 SB in 453 AB

It’s extraordinary to peer Gurriel with simply 5 homers. He had 21 in 500 at-bats in 2021, and he hit the ball a bit of tougher typically this yr; his reasonable go out speed greater relatively and his hard-hit fee climbed from 42.7% to 45.3%. However, his barrel fee, which was once 9.6% in 2021 and better than that the former two years, plummeted to three.8%. I’m now not positive what to chalk that as much as.

27. George Springer – Blue Jays
Projection: .259/.352/.510, 34 HR, 98 R, 78 RBI, 5 SB in 514 AB
2022 stats: .267/.342/.472, 25 HR, 89 R, 76 RBI, 14 SB in 513 AB

28. Christian Yelich – Brewers
Projection: .272/.377/.475, 24 HR, 88 R, 77 RBI, 11 SB in 503 AB
2022 stats: .252/.355/.383, 14 HR, 99 R, 57 RBI, 19 SB in 575 AB

Can we forestall equating Yelich with Cody Bellinger? Yelich has a 107 OPS+ the final two years. Bellinger is at 64. Yelich had a ninetieth percentile hard-hit fee this yr, however raising the ball stays an issue for him, perhaps on account of his again problems. I’d nonetheless love to assume he will determine one thing out.

29. Eddie Rosario – Braves
Projection: .274/.318/.487, 27 HR, 75 R, 90 RBI, 8 SB in 530 AB
2022 stats: .212/.259/.328, 5 HR, 27 R, 24 RBI, 3 SB in 250 AB

30. Myles Straw – Guardians
Projection: .264/.336/.356, 7 HR, 83 R, 50 RBI, 33 SB in 565 AB
2022 stats: .221/.291/.273, 0 HR, 72 R, 32 RBI, 21 SB in 535 AB

It’s not easy to consider Straw attempted simply 22 steals, particularly for the reason that he was once such a success when working. He spent lots of the yr hitting forward of one of the vital sport’s maximum affected person batters in Steven Kwan, giving him various alternatives. Plus, suffering hitters steadily ramp up the scouse borrow makes an attempt as a way to make it look like they are doing one thing sure and Straw indubitably spent lots of the yr suffering.

32. Nick Senzel – Reds
Projection: .280/.340/.473, 20 HR, 75 R, 66 RBI, 14 SB in 486 AB
2022 stats: .231/.296/.306, 5 HR, 45 R, 25 RBI, 8 SB in 373 AB

34. Bryan Reynolds – Pirates
Projection: .275/.353/.479, 23 HR, 85 R, 85 RBI, 5 SB in 564 AB
2022 stats: .262/.345/.461, 27 HR, 74 R, 62 RBI, 7 SB in 542 AB

35. Andrew Benintendi – Royals/Yankees
Projection: .285/.345/.457, 18 HR, 74 R, 78 RBI, 11 SB in 530 AB
2022 stats: .304/.373/.399, 5 HR, 54 R, 51 RBI, 8 SB in 461 AB

36. Giancarlo Stanton – Yankees
Projection: .262/.351/.509, 33 HR, 78 R, 92 RBI, 1 SB in 489 AB
2022 stats: .211/.297/.462, 31 HR, 53 R, 78 RBI, 0 SB in 398 AB

37. Charlie Blackmon – Rockies
Projection: .284/.355/.462, 22 HR, 91 R, 76 RBI, 3 SB in 556 AB
2022 stats: .264/.314/.419, 16 HR, 60 R, 78 RBI, 4 SB in 530 AB

38. Ian Happ – Cubs
Projection: .253/.343/.485, 30 HR, 87 R, 81 RBI, 7 SB in 526 AB
2022 stats: .271/.342/.440, 17 HR, 72 R, 72 RBI, 9 SB in 573 AB

The form of this projection wasn’t nice. Happ got here into the yr with 74 doubles and 87 homers in necessarily 3 seasons of enjoying time (1,797 PA) all over his profession. In 2022, he had 42 doubles and 17 homers.

40. Trent Grisham – Padres
Projection: .255/.340/.426, 20 HR, 87 R, 64 RBI, 18 SB in 533 AB
2022 stats: .184/.284/.341, 17 HR, 58 R, 53 RBI, 7 SB in 451 AB

41. Seiya Suzuki – Cubs
Projection: .265/.353/.471, 25 HR, 83 R, 79 RBI, 5 SB in 520 AB
2022 stats: .262/.336/.433, 14 HR, 54 R, 46 RBI, 9 SB in 397 AB

Suzuki neglected 50 video games and was once streaky the remainder of the time, however he did not fare badly in his MLB debut. His 25% strikeout fee was once extra a serve as of his persistence than touch problems; best seven of the 277 gamers with 300 plate appearances this yr swung much less steadily than he did. I be expecting that he will be no less than a bit of higher subsequent yr.

44. Avisail Garcia – Marlins
Projection: .258/.316/.455, 27 HR, 76 R, 81 RBI, 8 SB in 561 AB
2022 stats: .224/.266/.317, 8 HR, 31 R, 35 RBI, 4 SB in 357 AB

46. Jarred Kelenic – Mariners
Projection: .263/.333/.450, 22 HR, 75 R, 77 RBI, 9 SB in 525 AB
2022 stats: .141/.221/.313, 7 HR, 20 R, 17 RBI, 5 SB in 163 AB

Kelenic minimize down at the strikeouts some after getting back from Triple-A, nevertheless it was once nonetheless a bleak appearing. He had extra infield popups (12) than line drives (11) in his 163 primary league plate appearances. I’m now not writing him off eternally, however I see no explanation why to suggest him for 2023.

47. Hunter Renfroe – Brewers
Projection: .242/.306/.505, 36 HR, 77 R, 92 RBI, 3 SB in 513 AB
2022 stats: .255/.315/.492, 29 HR, 62 R, 72 RBI, 1 SB in 474 AB

52. Julio Rodriguez – Mariners
Projection: .259/.330/.433, 19 HR, 70 R, 68 RBI, 14 SB in 501 AB
2022 stats: .284/.345/.509, 28 HR, 84 R, 75 RBI, 25 SB in 511 AB

While the 28 homers and 25 steals were given the entire consideration, hitting .284 — 40 issues above the league reasonable — as a 21-year-old rookie enjoying part his video games at Safeco Field may had been Rodríguez’s maximum spectacular feat of all. The Mariners as a complete hit .224 at house this yr and .217 after removing Rodríguez’s .285 mark.

54. Anthony Santander – Orioles
Projection: .262/.308/.488, 29 HR, 76 R, 78 RBI, 2 SB in 531 AB
2022 stats: .240/.318/.455, 33 HR, 78 R, 89 RBI, 0 SB in 574 AB

63. Joey Gallo – Yankees/Dodgers
Projection: .206/.337/.467, 37 HR, 85 R, 84 RBI, 5 SB in 510 AB
2022 stats: .160/.280/.357, 19 HR, 48 R, 47 RBI, 3 SB in 350 AB

Average go out speed is not a perfect stat, however it sort of feels notable that Gallo’s has fallen from 94 mph in 2018-19 to 91 mph in 2020-21 to 89 mph this yr. At least he did jump again there some with the Dodgers, going from 88 mph with the Yankees to 92 mph after the deal. Even with the absence of the shift poised to assist him, it is nonetheless going to be tricky to challenge him to complete over the Mendoza Line subsequent yr.

68. Steven Kwan – Guardians
Projection: .275/.332/.423, 16 HR, 64 R, 68 RBI, 7 SB in 480 AB
2022 stats: .298/.373/.400, 6 HR, 89 R, 52 RBI, 19 SB in 563 AB

Definitely now not my highest paintings, despite the fact that it does not glance so dangerous OPS-wise. Kwan hit 12 homers and stole six bases in 341 minor league plate appearances final yr, and even supposing I’d observed him hit and must have recognized the ability would not translate like that, I simply went at the side of what the minor league numbers stated.

72. Jarren Duran – Red Sox
Projection: .254/.314/.431, 12 HR, 47 R, 42 RBI, 13 SB in 334 AB
2022 stats: .221/.283/.363, 3 HR, 23 R, 17 RBI, 7 SB in 204

If Duran had been a real heart fielder, I’d say it is sensible to offer him a complete yr to peer what he can do. Since he is not, I’m now not positive it is price it.

81. Adolís Garcia – Rangers
Projection: .233/.279/.428, 22 HR, 57 R, 66 RBI, 10 SB in 472 AB
2022 stats: .250/.300/.456, 22 HR, 88 R, 101 RBI, 25 SB in 605 AB

Everyone frightened in regards to the 6:1 Okay:BB ratio, and Statcast concept Garcia was once fortunate to hit .243 with a .454 slugging in 2021; it gave him an xBA of .220 and xSLG of .422. Garcia, regardless that, stepped forward in yr two as a normal, shedding his strikeout fee from 31% to twenty-eight% and reasonably boosting all of his go out speed numbers. I nonetheless do not know that he is going to have an extended shelf lifestyles, however I may not be so pessimistic about him subsequent yr.

82. Andrew Vaughn – White Sox
Projection: .263/.338/.468, 18 HR, 61 R, 58 RBI, 1 SB in 400 AB
2022 stats: .271/.321/.429, 17 HR, 60 R, 76 RBI, 0 SB in 510 AB

85. Taylor Ward – Angels
Projection: .252/.332/.445, 17 HR, 60 R, 56 RBI, 6 SB in 404 AB
2022 stats: .281/.360/.473, 23 HR, 73 R, 65 RBI, 5 SB in 495 AB

86. Jo Adell – Angels
Projection: .243/.291/.452, 18 HR, 49 R, 56 RBI, 9 SB in 383 AB
2022 stats: .224/.264/.373, 8 HR, 22 R, 27 RBI, 4 SB in 268 AB

104. Aaron Hicks – Yankees
Projection: .230/.332/.421, 19 HR, 63 R, 52 RBI, 6 SB in 413 AB
2022 stats: .216/.330/.313, 8 HR, 54 R, 40 RBI, 10 SB in 384 AB

Hicks’ remoted slugging proportion was once over .200 every yr from 2017-19. In the 3 years since: .189, .139 (in simply 32 video games) and .096.

109. Austin Slater – Giants
Projection: .263/.346/.431, 9 HR, 39 R, 34 RBI, 10 SB in 255 AB
2022 stats: .264/.366/.408, 7 HR, 49 R, 34 RBI, 12 SB in 277 AB

I’d nonetheless like to peer what Slater may do as a full-timer. He hit .246/.350/.361 in opposition to righties in 143 plate appearances this season, which goes out to a 105 OPS+.

114. Seth Brown – Athletics
Projection: .226/.291/.445, 23 HR, 56 R, 62 RBI, 6 SB in 429 AB
2022 stats: .230/.305/.444, 25 HR, 55 R, 73 RBI, 11 SB in 500 AB

118. Riley Greene – Tigers
Projection: .246/.318/.408, 10 HR, 47 R, 40 RBI, 9 SB in 338 AB
2022 stats: .253/.321/.362, 5 HR, 46 R, 42 RBI, 1 SB in 376 AB

149. Corbin Carroll – Diamondbacks
Projection: .237/.312/.392, 3 HR, 13 R, 11 RBI, 6 SB in 97 AB
2022 stats: .260/.330/.500, 4 HR, 13 R, 14 RBI, 2 SB in 104 AB

155. TJ Friedl – Reds
Projection: .249/.326/.399, 7 HR, 30 R, 23 RBI, 6 SB in 213 AB
2022 stats: .240/.314/.436, 8 HR, 33 R, 25 RBI, 7 SB in 225 AB

186. Michael Harris II – Braves
Projection: .226/.286/.369, 2 HR, 12 R, 8 RBI, 5 SB in 84 AB
2022 stats: .297/.339/.514, 19 HR, 75 R, 64 RBI, 20 SB in 414 AB

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